{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.387Z", "seo": { "title": "Australia exports to Germany: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Australia to Germany, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "AUS", "country_name": "Australia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "DEU", "country_name": "Germany" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "all_history_lane_count": 529, "current_lane_count": 397, "current_product_count": 397, "first_observed_last_year": 1996, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 2576162136.6047697, "attention_trade_usd": 1462457537.343545, "critical_trade_usd": 579995099.3333716, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1375252616.0328202, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 732326610.2665026, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 701951.3119453805, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 495492271.0903406, "access_friction_trade_usd": 2576162136.6047697, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 6, "high_attention_lane_count": 76, "high_volatility_lane_count": 265, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 170, "declining_demand_lane_count": 4, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 81, "access_friction_lane_count": 397, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2060230988716147, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 35.68443970692716, "product_concentration_hhi": 1124.6116629297212, "top1_product_share_pct": 22.547474751085126, "top3_product_share_pct": 51.742417419688394, "top_product_hs6": "270112", "top_product_trade_usd": 580859507.2979755, "top_product_description": "Coal: bituminous, whether or not pulverised, but not agglomerated", "top_attention_product_hs6": "120510", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 16562.724609375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.5438852310180664, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.8782636827160495, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.8782636827160495, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 4223116.205969, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 50802, "buyer_population_latest": 83129.288, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.422772294996279, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.3176380750794765, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.10175824948728263, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.237999999999996, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 27.802, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 56.768846826969444, "critical_trade_share_pct": 22.513920653215216, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 4223116.205969, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 50802, "buyer_population_2024": 83129.288 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 962003632.7027396, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 896701573.3480803, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.788130224747057, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 918956782.1206743, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.4818969246923617, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 1011619195.7750536, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.083435419078413, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.6904376737353788 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 919841841.5115877, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.072322336978845, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.8529043898174882 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 945828193.2759434, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.8250891176739623, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.9653579578759786 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 925119746.2217705, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.1894512345257633, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.935528010559041 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 992343740.1252961, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.266518110555009, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.561175825328621 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 946432265.1718878, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.626569715410456, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.021284462478643462 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 1194825350.8903203, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.245204739857453, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.901908940837133 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 1248626835.6883516, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.502874395654666, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.958500411737712 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 1606946516.068393, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.697099096264765, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.299135053183434 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 1745746537.1627119, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.637500981296586, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.472925971219185 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 2211035995.290427, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.65274988223265, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.982080701656102 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 1894720651.407077, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.306205080202727, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.644750578714763 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 2400175988.7392273, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.677037428012618, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.195522313056895 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 3299366752.002118, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.46353465252441, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.273341508439108 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 2620692301.4097013, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.56983965727921, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.418407822235377 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 2163508071.430314, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.4451701076644, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.4011822992915386 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 1737455823.9385734, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.69265810088121, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.24655491638414 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 1562507479.0186186, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.069225502572543, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.834257844003307 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 1781270487.6223946, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.000765534970562, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.274639923911907 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 2226541787.975802, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.997399521717046, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.61897322525147 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 2153066551.4525843, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.299971144490199, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.278633299579344 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 2337887270.6557503, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.584069037646568, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.487506366643462 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 2347954502.069928, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.43061235417711785, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.7855846482521809 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 2381236434.9422145, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.417486277649127, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.4145599541873572 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 4096308195.63683, "yoy_growth_pct": 72.02442124300164, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.556237672376575 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 3528308638.436703, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.866133358938415, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.540470740129097 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 2741058855.688414, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.312384301422618, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.802573516842501 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "270112", "hs_description": "Coal: bituminous, whether or not pulverised, but not agglomerated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2085112532.5296068, "current_below_peak_pct": 45.25819161843582, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7244964445735176, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "120510", "hs_description": "Oil seeds: low erucic acid rape or colza seeds, whether or not broken", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2517161798.268179, "current_below_peak_pct": 63.92297465373985, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1701580854217377, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "270119", "hs_description": "Coal: (other than anthracite and bituminous), whether or not pulverised but not agglomerated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 612447073.3247826, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.097177449252231, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "260300", "hs_description": "Copper ores and concentrates", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2318534219.066317, "current_below_peak_pct": 25.580998727567017, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.971736110860639, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "902190", "hs_description": "Appliances: worn, carried or implanted in the body, to compensate for a defect or disability", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1440675484.4125297, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.765105816217871, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "300212", "hs_description": "Blood, human or animal, antisera, other blood fractions and immunological products: antisera and other blood fractions", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 7525211466.099887, "current_below_peak_pct": 84.17329052159272, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6191840806788975, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "750210", "hs_description": "Nickel: unwrought, not alloyed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 663110383.1663105, "current_below_peak_pct": 42.24233837906891, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6670998513427092, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "901920", "hs_description": "Therapeutic respiration apparatus: ozone, oxygen, aerosol therapy apparatus: artificial respiration or other therapeutic respiration apparatus", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 571035677.206209, "current_below_peak_pct": 35.11190176442125, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6459171430492988, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "902139", "hs_description": "Artificial parts of the body: excluding artificial joints", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1195256003.0387146, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.318502583197245, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19171045683.569923, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4244991078252618, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "distance_km": 15965, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4223116.205968999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 50801.7848771783, "importer_population": 83129.288, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1542659.8999929999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 59934.12940890754, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.8782636827160495, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.8782636827160495, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AUS-DEU/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AUS-DEU/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AUS-DEU/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AUS-DEU/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AUS-DEU/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }