{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:05.763Z", "seo": { "title": "Antigua and Barbuda exports to the United States: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Antigua and Barbuda to the United States, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ATG", "country_name": "Antigua and Barbuda" }, "importer": { "iso3": "USA", "country_name": "United States" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "USA", "all_history_lane_count": 54, "current_lane_count": 9, "current_product_count": 9, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 12744027.15084732, "attention_trade_usd": 1087727.1783765573, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 12369521.51084732, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 50454.32000766237, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1294139.6983842195, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 7, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 4, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 2.622939801237533, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 0.6684045154979787, "product_concentration_hhi": 5397.655197867813, "top1_product_share_pct": 71.34405560666528, "top3_product_share_pct": 95.01163837393901, "top_product_hs6": "970110", "top_product_trade_usd": 9092105.817029033, "top_product_description": "Paintings, drawings and pastels: executed entirely by hand, other than drawings of heading no. 4906", "top_attention_product_hs6": "740400", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 2876.39892578125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.7680000066757202, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4.2, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 22996100, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 69288, "buyer_population_latest": 331893.738, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.1023377268677015, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.47830267128826, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.5916240968762754, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.094, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 17.618, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 8.53519194130277, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 22996100, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 69288, "buyer_population_2024": 331893.738 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 3039021.0664485837, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 8625499.159485826, "yoy_growth_pct": 183.8249216075896, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 4993094.076431681, "yoy_growth_pct": -42.11240434774648, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 1848016.5758006943, "yoy_growth_pct": -62.9885488334043, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.27906946120594 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 2206620.7428648104, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.404813342041738, "cagr_3y_pct": -36.51840650806737 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 2650310.059718778, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.107185083284172, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.032826486896738 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 3320803.775025162, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.298689594738576, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.57542149575371 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 3437307.527384942, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.508299804883741, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.921385779522934 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 12650845.725912215, "yoy_growth_pct": 268.04521053537536, "cagr_3y_pct": 68.37371393946525 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 3772433.3008427345, "yoy_growth_pct": -70.18038649292978, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.342070883917382 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 4896291.15320844, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.79132466343788, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.516517511759574 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 5539560.43557179, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.137888704633681, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.063265889884534 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 10055125.922440844, "yoy_growth_pct": 81.51486998630352, "cagr_3y_pct": 38.650672784438036 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 4484889.965107661, "yoy_growth_pct": -55.39697861865294, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.88309075424531 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 9909661.305914922, "yoy_growth_pct": 120.95662063087067, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.3932397861345 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 6567466.178757854, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.72663327213983, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.23655711120918 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 7843805.498487074, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.434273203529795, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.48278779444752 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 9474067.296240628, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.784067096870285, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.4872253500421762 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 9650218.152925907, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.8592949699141048, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.687599210220203 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 6579498.604423502, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.820208619546854, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.690524897073013 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 7126341.56170477, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.311316563143833, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.055440674451365 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 16354065.909873147, "yoy_growth_pct": 129.48753954982917, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.22377555464061 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 11803815.847080605, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.823356514941644, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.50939973286061 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 5301146.996676508, "yoy_growth_pct": -55.089548453201076, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.39175101888713 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 10103854.972937703, "yoy_growth_pct": 90.59752501245855, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.829907275672948 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 4319269.1581626395, "yoy_growth_pct": -57.25127518425961, "cagr_3y_pct": -28.474218068195157 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 28594025.64451524, "yoy_growth_pct": 562.0107383323794, "cagr_3y_pct": 75.37532348190497 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 8547320.112233803, "yoy_growth_pct": -70.10802110029826, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.423997135767589 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 14255455.475884112, "yoy_growth_pct": 66.78274931437562, "cagr_3y_pct": 48.887056247088466 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 23428337.821956195, "yoy_growth_pct": 64.34646975391145, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.425957521818415 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "970110", "hs_description": "Paintings, drawings and pastels: executed entirely by hand, other than drawings of heading no. 4906", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 5248779618.542853, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 3.0079331452237565, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "970300", "hs_description": "Sculptures and statuary: original, in any material", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1244333764.5155683, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9860056011948897, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "740400", "hs_description": "Copper: waste and scrap", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 822279012.7628102, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3524992953906054, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "621112", "hs_description": "Swimwear: women's or girls', (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 37219081.37454091, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9282506726935756, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "731290", "hs_description": "Iron or steel: plaited bands, slings and the like, not electrically insulated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26935953.933655716, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7419450327796286, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "731600", "hs_description": "Iron or steel: anchors, grapnels and parts thereof", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 41451583.59617523, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.5058256342449567, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "250510", "hs_description": "Sands: natural, silica and quartz sands, whether or not coloured", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26012629.02683286, "current_below_peak_pct": 35.06108760828089, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0581502269624505, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "630630", "hs_description": "Sails: of synthetic fibres or other textile materials", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 34400081.701675385, "current_below_peak_pct": 97.93002117840939, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2714031310826317, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "620422", "hs_description": "Ensembles: women's or girls', of cotton (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 31437534.493458316, "current_below_peak_pct": 37.32934483570097, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2085267758392708, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "USA", "distance_km": 2865, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 22996100, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 69287.53804930179, "importer_population": 331893.738, "importer_biz_entry_days": 4.2, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1471.125926, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 14900.797402965725, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ATG-USA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ATG-USA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ATG-USA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ATG-USA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ATG-USA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }