{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:05.769Z", "seo": { "title": "Antigua and Barbuda exports to Poland: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Antigua and Barbuda to Poland, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ATG", "country_name": "Antigua and Barbuda" }, "importer": { "iso3": "POL", "country_name": "Poland" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "all_history_lane_count": 16, "current_lane_count": 1, "current_product_count": 1, "first_observed_last_year": 1998, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 65580665.597074755, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 65580665.597074755, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 0, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 0, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6001171466616477, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 52.262323224218186, "product_concentration_hhi": 10000, "top1_product_share_pct": 100, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "890190", "top_product_trade_usd": 65580665.597074755, "top_product_description": "Vessels: n.e.s. in heading no. 8901, for the transport of goods and other vessels for the transport of both persons and goods", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 8034.279296875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.23199999332427979, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 37, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 674048.2663969999, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 17841, "buyer_population_latest": 37781.025, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.774876361756622, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 9.599090635201723, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.7520265621440814, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.94, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.524, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 674048.2663969999, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 17841, "buyer_population_2024": 37781.025 }, "history": [ { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 5631380.076143567, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 473208.04160556215, "yoy_growth_pct": -91.59694364068531, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 2936863.6188375806, "yoy_growth_pct": 520.6284256863019, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 715461.6686712311, "yoy_growth_pct": -75.63858042020988, "cagr_3y_pct": -49.7282685112941 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 1229381.8293214673, "yoy_growth_pct": 71.830565235549, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.471147499154945 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 103525454.84089214, "yoy_growth_pct": 8320.9358208939, "cagr_3y_pct": 227.88467800267628 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 9942789.670583105, "yoy_growth_pct": -90.3958019929841, "cagr_3y_pct": 140.42186428807267 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 5562028.727463954, "yoy_growth_pct": -44.05967629065049, "cagr_3y_pct": 65.39237334387008 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 83885928.31059006, "yoy_growth_pct": 1408.1894111114818, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.771794980063206 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 68396062.69197194, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.465392146900307, "cagr_3y_pct": 90.18413388373325 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 168650184.1858407, "yoy_growth_pct": 146.578790573622, "cagr_3y_pct": 211.8299779936871 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 60941857.92903463, "yoy_growth_pct": -63.86493247948015, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.103622452393546 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 105542932.2350415, "yoy_growth_pct": 73.18627265670794, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.55782294468564 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 90527143.38722171, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.227185591527814, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.72992407453824 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 140612240.8135289, "yoy_growth_pct": 55.326055315887615, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.14045958701281 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 119275144.89348221, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.174422793206599, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.161429710499442 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 116814425.52468766, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.063061311719283, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.869414447544788 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 135010590.40112537, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.5769844303965, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.345953738401895 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 95700650.83125634, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.116189665622972, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.07733726951032 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 102723031.75616813, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.337861199391371, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.1944981014164995 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 99270670.17377727, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.360844713564992, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.742277123081166 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 94788740.12301019, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.51485825865916, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.3186403289652473 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 25772799.060352605, "yoy_growth_pct": -72.8102736391406, "cagr_3y_pct": -36.928776904272375 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 36928785.67845163, "yoy_growth_pct": 43.28589452769511, "cagr_3y_pct": -28.080273955007982 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 38177078.340999424, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.3802699970072236, "cagr_3y_pct": -26.150315191514608 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 65607156.060106725, "yoy_growth_pct": 71.84959905548712, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.54104055257057 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "890190", "hs_description": "Vessels: n.e.s. in heading no. 8901, for the transport of goods and other vessels for the transport of both persons and goods", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 725002846.5392492, "current_below_peak_pct": 52.262323224218186, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6001171466616477, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "distance_km": 8039, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 674048.2663969999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17840.920578438512, "importer_population": 37781.025, "importer_biz_entry_days": 37, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 11.6, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1471.125926, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 14900.797402965725, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ATG-POL/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ATG-POL/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ATG-POL/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ATG-POL/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ATG-POL/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }