{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:07.863Z", "seo": { "title": "Antigua and Barbuda exports to Saint Lucia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Antigua and Barbuda to Saint Lucia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ATG", "country_name": "Antigua and Barbuda" }, "importer": { "iso3": "LCA", "country_name": "Saint Lucia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "all_history_lane_count": 3, "current_lane_count": 1, "current_product_count": 1, "first_observed_last_year": 2013, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 32201.91002485527, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 32201.91002485527, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 32201.91002485527, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 32201.91002485527, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.786844964255895, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 86.56373035150297, "product_concentration_hhi": 10000, "top1_product_share_pct": 100, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "870323", "top_product_trade_usd": 32201.91002485527, "top_product_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 358.6497497558594, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.3440000116825104, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 11, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1764.9011329999998, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 9571, "buyer_population_latest": 184.401, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.9980096230490147, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.7558440232372314, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.23339947941394268, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.584000000000003, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 19.212, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1764.9011329999998, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 9571, "buyer_population_2024": 184.401 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 567026.1999745682, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 664488.3415260271, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.1882959827659, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 668245.0248704449, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.5653497751052283, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 383232.95060423657, "yoy_growth_pct": -42.65083370002862, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.242029287819589 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 691470.7997195851, "yoy_growth_pct": 80.43093596971644, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.3356271827468902 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 612082.6320425177, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.481058594124594, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.883853673399772 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 394411.9064468486, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.56231041375943, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.9630336314605303 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 649144.1546273328, "yoy_growth_pct": 64.58533427028077, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.0835254150348814 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 1450748.5028178983, "yoy_growth_pct": 123.48633850839472, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.329840073937156 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 1008324.0181663837, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.496290969258975, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.736155519919535 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 606916.572451228, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.809370647057165, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.2171670899346463 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 487567.2506309718, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.664864536195736, "cagr_3y_pct": -30.473964591795134 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 754759.6312303176, "yoy_growth_pct": 54.80113363921924, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.203414412358546 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 486449.1414934941, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.54913095967471, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.109889053604467 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 1446322.702818038, "yoy_growth_pct": 197.32249056449027, "cagr_3y_pct": 43.684600730912514 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 1145317.993844479, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.811725376852387, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.913875985033552 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 1584122.156855387, "yoy_growth_pct": 38.31286728832206, "cagr_3y_pct": 48.2235039840875 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 1655444.9890013726, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.502356831342302, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.604375270482675 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 1362401.9021083335, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.701771356945773, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.956202777176145 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 882387.5611873041, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.23294706049671, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.72076667452971 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 1151924.8761571413, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.54636384574132, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.385838066399279 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 996894.8421588845, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.458345870213517, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.888261344844917 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 2046958.0975920002, "yoy_growth_pct": 105.33340238365456, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.37821632026379 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 467410.82403349446, "yoy_growth_pct": -77.16558904731137, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.967081656635127 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 444063.21953789436, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.995092816662505, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.628412511593854 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 342240.86490100995, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.92969788014505, "cagr_3y_pct": -44.909805702337124 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 1549236.5804031077, "yoy_growth_pct": 352.6743411694014, "cagr_3y_pct": 49.09840327965973 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 1073083.0028056623, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.734723387021457, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.19288943039551 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 549406.9588907663, "yoy_growth_pct": -48.801075270571125, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.09025821503922 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 456635.8607855686, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.88567947746773, "cagr_3y_pct": -33.44958664830735 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "hs_code": "870323", "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18852780.988207735, "current_below_peak_pct": 86.56373035150297, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.786844964255895, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ATG", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "distance_km": 356, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1764.9011329999998, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9570.995455556098, "importer_population": 184.401, "importer_biz_entry_days": 11, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 17, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1471.125926, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 14900.797402965725, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ATG-LCA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ATG-LCA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ATG-LCA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ATG-LCA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ATG-LCA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }