{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:00.453Z", "seo": { "title": "Armenia exports to World excl. Intra-EU: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Armenia to World excl. Intra-EU, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ARM", "country_name": "Armenia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "WXD", "country_name": "World excl. Intra-EU" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "all_history_lane_count": 33, "current_lane_count": 29, "current_product_count": 29, "first_observed_last_year": 2006, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 16150793.71, "attention_trade_usd": 10296034.530000001, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 4743159.71, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 181730.74000000002, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 10793612.420000002, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 2, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 8, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.4068519204921771, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 5.435892088796402, "product_concentration_hhi": 2173.99660863853, "top1_product_share_pct": 34.38143610590392, "top3_product_share_pct": 70.68984685830651, "top_product_hs6": "220820", "top_product_trade_usd": 5552874.82, "top_product_description": "Spirits obtained by distilling grape wine or grape marc", "top_attention_product_hs6": "220820", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": null, "shares_land_border": null, "shares_official_language": null, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": null, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null, "buyer_population_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": null, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": null, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Macro trend unavailable", "attention_trade_share_pct": 63.74940275303659, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null, "buyer_population_2024": null }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 303009.6077785405, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 1564003.4604580374, "yoy_growth_pct": 416.1563925065751, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 110000, "yoy_growth_pct": -92.96676747967136, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 883485.759887896, "yoy_growth_pct": 703.16887262536, "cagr_3y_pct": 42.861229969246125 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 221675, "yoy_growth_pct": -74.9090466349873, "cagr_3y_pct": -47.861363546713434 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 565125, "yoy_growth_pct": 154.93402503665274, "cagr_3y_pct": 72.55091964532554 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 5389135, "yoy_growth_pct": 853.6182260561823, "cagr_3y_pct": 82.71456558734805 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 654680, "yoy_growth_pct": -87.85185377616259, "cagr_3y_pct": 43.473200229926846 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 1149497, "yoy_growth_pct": 75.58150546832042, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.7032555872478 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 26459099, "yoy_growth_pct": 2201.7980038225414, "cagr_3y_pct": 69.96206385186288 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 47301361, "yoy_growth_pct": 78.77162408289111, "cagr_3y_pct": 316.4998548298279 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 764066, "yoy_growth_pct": -98.38468495652799, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.728117480299483 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 24524170, "yoy_growth_pct": 3109.692618176964, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.4995944282254823 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 5049, "yoy_growth_pct": -99.97941214728165, "cagr_3y_pct": -95.25637250180061 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 12000, "yoy_growth_pct": 137.67082590612003, "cagr_3y_pct": -74.95716701291398 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 188760, "yoy_growth_pct": 1473, "cagr_3y_pct": -80.2558450694747 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 87992, "yoy_growth_pct": -53.384191566009754, "cagr_3y_pct": 159.2662221268395 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 2022441, "yoy_growth_pct": 2198.437357941631, "cagr_3y_pct": 452.37185046130384 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 2096809.9999999998, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.677190088610738, "cagr_3y_pct": 123.12575525517727 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 687412, "yoy_growth_pct": -67.21629522941993, "cagr_3y_pct": 98.42267798647283 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 888593, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.26643701302858, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.97746586903634 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 20932.63, "yoy_growth_pct": -97.64429496968803, "cagr_3y_pct": -78.4678082192653 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 1, "yoy_growth_pct": -99.99522276942744, "cagr_3y_pct": -98.86691898326168 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 14079783.920000004, "yoy_growth_pct": 1407978292.0000005, "cagr_3y_pct": 151.16803467992824 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 17303643.650000013, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.897082429088922, "cagr_3y_pct": 838.5078766400521 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 26761256.890000004, "yoy_growth_pct": 54.65677305484722, "cagr_3y_pct": 29811.31471493928 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "220820", "hs_description": "Spirits obtained by distilling grape wine or grape marc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11259446.276924321, "current_below_peak_pct": 8.474425173632357, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.0629705467507661, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "240220", "hs_description": "Cigarettes: containing tobacco", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 328132985.0222181, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0648929973069365, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "220421", "hs_description": "Wine: still, in containers holding 2 litres or less", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 46360752.699249774, "current_below_peak_pct": 11.914204690992532, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.05312363565336306, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "180690", "hs_description": "Chocolate and other food preparations containing cocoa: n.e.c. in chapter 18", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23338769.466254663, "current_below_peak_pct": 3.415964273455087, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.050114422852172436, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "220890", "hs_description": "Spirits, liqueurs and other spirituous beverages: n.e.c. in heading no. 2208", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13681968.12525067, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.11501966961808936, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "842720", "hs_description": "Fork-lift and other works trucks: fitted with lifting or handling equipment, self-propelled by other than electric motor", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10177793.781120123, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "853720", "hs_description": "Boards, panels, consoles, desks and other bases: for electric control or the distribution of electricity, (other than switching apparatus of heading no. 8517), for a voltage exceeding 1000 volts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10630541.007167986, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "220110", "hs_description": "Waters: mineral and aerated, including natural or artificial, (not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter nor flavoured)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17260487.78237698, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.948869788732604, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "853710", "hs_description": "Boards, panels, consoles, desks and other bases: for electric control or the distribution of electricity, (other than switching apparatus of heading no. 8517), for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27615519.37333539, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9997648577136582, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "950300", "hs_description": "Tricycles, scooters, pedal cars and similar wheeled toys: dolls' carriages: dolls: other toys: reduced-size (scale) models and similar recreational models, working or not: puzzles of all kinds", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22005534.024621397, "current_below_peak_pct": 25.021069330217227, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.11804088376343524, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "distance_km": null, "shares_land_border": null, "shares_official_language": null, "shares_ethnic_language": null, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": null, "shared_colonial_history": null, "has_fta": null, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": null, "importer_is_wto": null, "exporter_is_eu": null, "importer_is_eu": null, "importer_gdp_million_usd": null, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": null, "importer_population": null, "importer_biz_entry_days": null, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": null, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": null, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARM-WXD/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARM-WXD/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARM-WXD/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARM-WXD/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARM-WXD/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }