{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:05.780Z", "seo": { "title": "Armenia exports to Vietnam: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Armenia to Vietnam, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ARM", "country_name": "Armenia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "VNM", "country_name": "Vietnam" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "all_history_lane_count": 52, "current_lane_count": 3, "current_product_count": 3, "first_observed_last_year": 2001, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 4024609.548291399, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 3597656.512634891, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 136778.75288017045, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 426953.0356565078, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.480384937051134, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 1.9826507110243985, "product_concentration_hhi": 8054.364197769604, "top1_product_share_pct": 89.39144206329864, "top3_product_share_pct": 99.99999999999999, "top_product_hs6": "240220", "top_product_trade_usd": 3597656.512634891, "top_product_description": "Cigarettes: containing tobacco", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 6124.7333984375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.995809710306512, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 15.775317722988506, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 5.55343104421456, "tariff_advantage_pp": 10.221886678773945, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 16, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 362637.524071, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 3694, "buyer_population_latest": 98168.831, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 7.336634047306667, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.513364638435548, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.77292592499143, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 32.64, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 24.712, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 362637.524071, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 3694, "buyer_population_2024": 98168.831 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 26313.812474675662, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 52168.70425162003, "yoy_growth_pct": 98.25597032671357, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 36123.0892499594, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.75716606697656, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 34464.29371652291, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.592064432690657, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.411222130379503 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 43795.36629359833, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.074608444977088, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.665032460977947 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 58752.31488329379, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.15189746199645, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.601636759899563 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 110690.92592663575, "yoy_growth_pct": 88.40266319125189, "cagr_3y_pct": 47.54150612790391 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 30421.708932192516, "yoy_growth_pct": -72.5165286336519, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.437102962263335 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 39190.35569262508, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.823649519417714, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.625492500537483 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 16652.73700027282, "yoy_growth_pct": -57.50807384632499, "cagr_3y_pct": -46.81475049501411 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 751122.4135000075, "yoy_growth_pct": 4410.504270185147, "cagr_3y_pct": 191.18949611764998 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 257763.01919102005, "yoy_growth_pct": -65.68295466115558, "cagr_3y_pct": 87.36154901680331 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 782510.18370626, "yoy_growth_pct": 203.57736581536793, "cagr_3y_pct": 260.8567153297356 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 1207328.5682052847, "yoy_growth_pct": 54.28918285598869, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.13991877435115 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 2596561.2798800413, "yoy_growth_pct": 115.066664391109, "cagr_3y_pct": 115.96961571271893 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 10202187.04264264, "yoy_growth_pct": 292.91146801334, "cagr_3y_pct": 135.36096050518444 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 58448.20675841563, "yoy_growth_pct": -99.42710120375057, "cagr_3y_pct": -63.554109054180174 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 990528.0552641449, "yoy_growth_pct": 1594.7107707825858, "cagr_3y_pct": -27.474722130476458 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 0.5701409537201263, "yoy_growth_pct": -99.99994244070618, "cagr_3y_pct": -99.6176776806628 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 196023.44763061736, "yoy_growth_pct": 34381476.40695328, "cagr_3y_pct": 49.68522828336634 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 98153.92822605076, "yoy_growth_pct": -49.927455407778545, "cagr_3y_pct": -53.7249423859794 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 21875.773721441947, "yoy_growth_pct": -77.71278835518277, "cagr_3y_pct": 3272.8243780820626 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 136666.0183610016, "yoy_growth_pct": 524.7368440598096, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.328475978260865 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 406443.24796349695, "yoy_growth_pct": 197.39890928107832, "cagr_3y_pct": 60.582202151858475 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 343089.5525830954, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.587341085831351, "cagr_3y_pct": 150.31181946564774 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 1083469.3171828967, "yoy_growth_pct": 215.79781693308288, "cagr_3y_pct": 99.3970329762458 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 957019.4252506531, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.670832752423765, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.037358507683855 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 1163820.2372669464, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.60884163475889, "cagr_3y_pct": 50.2540327345053 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 554498.6588787712, "yoy_growth_pct": -52.35530014661659, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.011424789873146 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 4058129.19665013, "yoy_growth_pct": 631.8555476501791, "cagr_3y_pct": 61.858323886039024 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "hs_code": "240220", "hs_description": "Cigarettes: containing tobacco", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 867743651.837149, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6277857046688395, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "hs_code": "851830", "hs_description": "Headphones and earphones, whether or not combined with a microphone, and sets consisting of a microphone and one or more loudspeakers", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 69676603.31585687, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "hs_code": "180690", "hs_description": "Chocolate and other food preparations containing cocoa: n.e.c. in chapter 18", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 71701496.75610569, "current_below_peak_pct": 58.33797146480886, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7439570041706519, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "distance_km": 6887, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 362637.524071, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3694.018970960344, "importer_population": 98168.831, "importer_biz_entry_days": 16, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 5.6, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 13861.183874, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4670.008798138086, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.995809710306512, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 15.775317722988506, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 5.55343104421456, "tariff_advantage_pp": 10.221886678773945 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARM-VNM/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARM-VNM/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARM-VNM/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARM-VNM/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARM-VNM/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }