{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.358Z", "seo": { "title": "Armenia exports to Turkmenistan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Armenia to Turkmenistan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ARM", "country_name": "Armenia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "TKM", "country_name": "Turkmenistan" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "all_history_lane_count": 60, "current_lane_count": 2, "current_product_count": 2, "first_observed_last_year": 1996, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 19433756.54, "attention_trade_usd": 19371501.45, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 19433756.54, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 62255.08999999999, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 19433756.54, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 2, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1547589873027608, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 0.23631971676095134, "product_concentration_hhi": 9936.136218716361, "top1_product_share_pct": 99.67965488364608, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "711319", "top_product_trade_usd": 19371501.45, "top_product_description": "Jewellery: of precious metal (excluding silver) whether or not plated or clad with precious metal, and parts thereof", "top_attention_product_hs6": "711319", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 1223.82958984375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.04641120135784149, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.7222813899616853, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 2.7222813899616853, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 45231.428571000004, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 7612, "buyer_population_latest": 6117.933, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.7170849124341885, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.711998715992592, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.952144074214579, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 36.456, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 54.25600000000001, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 99.67965488364608, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 45231.428571000004, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 7612, "buyer_population_2024": 6117.933 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 24152417.374918252, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 23367075.649205536, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.2516071311697203, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 19282984.516644333, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.477972827550026, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 18381969.75276733, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.672589780380121, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.698660887429899 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 6861843.18212632, "yoy_growth_pct": -62.670794945175565, "cagr_3y_pct": -33.53207190729183 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 13895940.713991582, "yoy_growth_pct": 102.51032186494191, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.34567743452609 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 8567542.614369513, "yoy_growth_pct": -38.3449973578039, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.466734560720592 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 16672985.357525993, "yoy_growth_pct": 94.60638957969117, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.43866567471214 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 11029382.830777617, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.84878236098804, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.412060411019916 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 17311761.028067593, "yoy_growth_pct": 56.960378415362726, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.423650087114247 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 14855975.115722906, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.185650485604073, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.7732248534207535 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 1381558.463574928, "yoy_growth_pct": -90.70031786662898, "cagr_3y_pct": -49.96514040259116 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 2047590.999999996, "yoy_growth_pct": 48.20878406416755, "cagr_3y_pct": -50.9129061202074 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 4220546, "yoy_growth_pct": 106.12251177115, "cagr_3y_pct": -34.26109110393424 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 2744457, "yoy_growth_pct": -34.97388726482308, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.707846814551605 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 8335351.5, "yoy_growth_pct": 203.71587166423083, "cagr_3y_pct": 59.67131507876642 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 4544090, "yoy_growth_pct": -45.484122655175376, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.4926594255427537 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 13455285, "yoy_growth_pct": 196.10516076926294, "cagr_3y_pct": 69.88126652322617 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 18272106.999999978, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.79873633297235, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.903714737003973 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 13163904, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.956288784867468, "cagr_3y_pct": 42.553951672192 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 17013898, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.246597361998393, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.136001774192891 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 4792886.5, "yoy_growth_pct": -71.82958014677178, "cagr_3y_pct": -35.98680486918373 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 5608491.339999999, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.0169863192045, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.753359369554286 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 3059992.7149999994, "yoy_growth_pct": -45.440002854671434, "cagr_3y_pct": -43.55326117382765 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 5106902.67, "yoy_growth_pct": 66.8926414421219, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.1378736070720272 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 1782975.69, "yoy_growth_pct": -65.08694593938678, "cagr_3y_pct": -31.750450443602475 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 8140012.459999999, "yoy_growth_pct": 356.5408550242207, "cagr_3y_pct": 38.55904851198739 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 15508886.430000002, "yoy_growth_pct": 90.52656867800425, "cagr_3y_pct": 44.813042553779916 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 18210157.145, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.41756719408769, "cagr_3y_pct": 116.96487171400017 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 20536839.125, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.776836363758903, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.134910595791794 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "hs_code": "711319", "hs_description": "Jewellery: of precious metal (excluding silver) whether or not plated or clad with precious metal, and parts thereof", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23421208.617, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1544672664171034, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "hs_code": "940360", "hs_description": "Furniture: wooden, other than for office, kitchen or bedroom use", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10225509.096999997, "current_below_peak_pct": 73.77035100477866, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.245531831089617, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "distance_km": 1224, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 0, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 45231.428571000004, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7393.253337524292, "importer_population": 6117.933, "importer_biz_entry_days": null, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 13861.183874, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4670.008798138086, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.7222813899616853, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 2.7222813899616853, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARM-TKM/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARM-TKM/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARM-TKM/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARM-TKM/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARM-TKM/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }