{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.341Z", "seo": { "title": "Armenia exports to Japan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Armenia to Japan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ARM", "country_name": "Armenia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "JPN", "country_name": "Japan" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "all_history_lane_count": 21, "current_lane_count": 12, "current_product_count": 12, "first_observed_last_year": 1998, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 28312855.112171546, "attention_trade_usd": 27085882.65250989, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 14761172.753363686, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 13475000.48977001, "access_friction_trade_usd": 28312855.112171546, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 28312855.112171546, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 5, "high_volatility_lane_count": 5, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 6, "access_friction_lane_count": 12, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.461088166648537, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 4.023497791217645, "product_concentration_hhi": 1970.8242083227778, "top1_product_share_pct": 27.88247225590447, "top3_product_share_pct": 66.53265348558433, "top_product_hs6": "240220", "top_product_trade_usd": 7894323.971505662, "top_product_description": "Cigarettes: containing tobacco", "top_attention_product_hs6": "240220", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 7943.6376953125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.240406397827203, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.1693676000306517, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.6363991518816088, "tariff_advantage_pp": 1.5329684481490427, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 11.1, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 4937421.880462, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 39285, "buyer_population_latest": 125681.595, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -4.67885267787802, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -4.27363742210356, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.4233058113377264, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.977999999999998, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 24.869999999999997, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted", "attention_trade_share_pct": 95.66637679315434, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 4937421.880462, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 39285, "buyer_population_2024": 125681.595 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 142524.94986885122, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 88172.06582613227, "yoy_growth_pct": -38.135697709582395, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 47864.836395049424, "yoy_growth_pct": -45.71428496477017, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 4032177.7026189268, "yoy_growth_pct": 8324.091684633791, "cagr_3y_pct": 204.7073444409816 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 698582.8622378388, "yoy_growth_pct": -82.67479972958273, "cagr_3y_pct": 99.35584357336205 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 117910.28715643208, "yoy_growth_pct": -83.12150304135453, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.055323050137346 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 595118.1402133352, "yoy_growth_pct": 404.72113550515684, "cagr_3y_pct": -47.15289821484833 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 2427301.3265513536, "yoy_growth_pct": 307.8688183964996, "cagr_3y_pct": 51.46138437146905 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 1275591.4282098175, "yoy_growth_pct": -47.44816334681675, "cagr_3y_pct": 121.16681565803873 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 481818.1057539658, "yoy_growth_pct": -62.22786582768466, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.797697280838976 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 1141250.459399418, "yoy_growth_pct": 136.86334028762772, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.240685374591905 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 293038.8208846581, "yoy_growth_pct": -74.32300522018019, "cagr_3y_pct": -38.75492248277165 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 4634009.514058683, "yoy_growth_pct": 1481.3636910184873, "cagr_3y_pct": 112.6626730474857 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 483406.01014922094, "yoy_growth_pct": -89.56829914391282, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.899350420416056 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 1511403.6219215032, "yoy_growth_pct": 212.65718468311002, "cagr_3y_pct": 72.77667029829169 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 2768430.721101729, "yoy_growth_pct": 83.1695174570325, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.77799431498077 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 1693963.3577879209, "yoy_growth_pct": -38.81142320535338, "cagr_3y_pct": 51.89051526938242 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 1344322.1771041988, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.640421711382494, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.8297005816445573 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 2294200.804229878, "yoy_growth_pct": 70.65855516657548, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.071095769252466 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 6076856.3742844695, "yoy_growth_pct": 164.87900985303514, "cagr_3y_pct": 53.082302822374295 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 8766515.742117029, "yoy_growth_pct": 44.26070326780198, "cagr_3y_pct": 86.8276787579878 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 8008344.773569741, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.648486934265131, "cagr_3y_pct": 51.69471305462277 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 5768644.973094035, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.967075142262566, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.720045557156924 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 9096825.433506543, "yoy_growth_pct": 57.69431947945698, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.240499974726328 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 11595559.086607883, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.468193947063078, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.13135194440207 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 12435133.554587772, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.240482858213748, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.17908802009488 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 15681604.261201855, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.10724438433025, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.903964556275678 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 17183085.261582293, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.57479206445273, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.008303692135149 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 20399704.14531888, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.7196817961921, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.93909881988991 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 29624859.548074264, "yoy_growth_pct": 45.22200585380685, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.61996132575026 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "240220", "hs_description": "Cigarettes: containing tobacco", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 683699881.6051499, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.932767876496906, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "760120", "hs_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, alloys", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2428015655.202965, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.10598136506197, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "620213", "hs_description": "Coats: women's or girls', overcoats, raincoats, car-coats, capes, cloaks and similar articles, of man-made fibres, other than those of heading no. 6204 (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 291828425.3882896, "current_below_peak_pct": 3.8977142218714276, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7412461018187942, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "620193", "hs_description": "Anoraks (including ski-jackets), wind-cheaters, wind-jackets and similar articles: men's or boys', of man-made fibres, other than those of heading no. 6203 (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 524484918.2204757, "current_below_peak_pct": 3.038997610534744, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8886761751654892, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "620293", "hs_description": "Anoraks (including ski-jackets), wind-cheaters, wind-jackets and similar articles: women's or girls', of man-made fibres, other than those of heading no. 6204 (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 332535215.64937955, "current_below_peak_pct": 18.106820188457288, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7407874266613024, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "240210", "hs_description": "Cigars, cheroots and cigarillos: containing tobacco including the weight of every band, wrapper or attachment thereto", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 42779126.15969486, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7287557845530608, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "620113", "hs_description": "Coats: men's or boys', overcoats, raincoats, car-coats, capes, cloaks and similar articles, of man-made fibres, other than those of heading no. 6203 (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 108742315.1983126, "current_below_peak_pct": 44.11855690690882, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.142164780431089, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "880230", "hs_description": "Aeroplanes and other aircraft: of an unladen weight exceeding 2000kg but not exceeding 15,000kg", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 70382735.59300579, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "621020", "hs_description": "Garments: overcoats, raincoats, car-coats, capes, cloaks and similar articles, men's or boys', of the fabrics of heading no. 5602, 5603, 5903, 5906 or 5907 (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 166048087.48606306, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7474734927355201, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "940430", "hs_description": "Sleeping bags", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21832128.165545333, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ARM", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "distance_km": 7948, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4937421.880461999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 39285.162481125415, "importer_population": 125681.595, "importer_biz_entry_days": 11.1, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 7.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 13861.183874, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4670.008798138086, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.240406397827203, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.1693676000306517, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.6363991518816088, "tariff_advantage_pp": 1.5329684481490427 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARM-JPN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARM-JPN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARM-JPN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARM-JPN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARM-JPN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }