{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:05.815Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Argentina exports to Malawi: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Argentina to Malawi, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "ARG",
    "country_name": "Argentina"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "MWI",
    "country_name": "Malawi"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
    "importer_iso3": "MWI",
    "all_history_lane_count": 6,
    "current_lane_count": 2,
    "current_product_count": 2,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1999,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 900567.5684723078,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 404033.39025796036,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 900567.5684723078,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 404033.39025796036,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 900567.5684723078,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 900567.5684723078,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 2,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9885292030501899,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 92.02120276227416,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 5052.750704350546,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 55.13569393317718,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "100199",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 496534.1782143474,
    "top_product_description": "Cereals: wheat and meslin, other than durum wheat, other than seed",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 9345.9755859375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 24.516091226666664,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 24.516091226666664,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 37,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 12626.718073999999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 643,
    "buyer_population_latest": 19647.68,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 0.4742394112035031,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -2.0937742938528903,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.622931980611698,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 16.302,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 4.328,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 12626.718073999999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 643,
    "buyer_population_2024": 19647.68
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 198741.83600650184,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 259985.335889963,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.815605367285425,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 525511.2057750028,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 102.1310948081402,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 3499626.5335382745,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 565.9470806863511,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 160.16216280343255
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 6241081.974978411,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 78.33565710991468,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 188.4720082873417
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 392185.25123107753,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -93.7160695404512,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.293914420916238
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 2353578.8235093923,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 500.1191569854961,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.386906343818415
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 1005111.5623719012,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -57.29433183490359,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -45.59341578196309
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 4166694.391785573,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 314.55043875456437,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 119.83666663971846
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 6223829.439211199,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 49.37091262275351,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.28539405048266
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 2243721.8506457265,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -63.94949648668242,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.692776013793654
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 3351136.100075534,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 49.356128929755805,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.003456697621402
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 10315106.989131352,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 207.80925277546473,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.341940085899687
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 6811594.422543533,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.96486890809122,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 44.797119134169506
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 1896337.5798723765,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -72.1601513208671,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.28685611666415
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 14134968.28281449,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 645.3824905882935,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.072624505360618
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 22165186.462462585,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 56.81100954015834,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 48.186123086150666
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 6908877.271159275,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -68.83005120277392,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 53.87353889922291
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 5176136.189105376,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.07992274355677,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -28.456483061814307
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 5181466.526595285,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.10297908121368327,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -38.39814796495579
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 1159893.634132001,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -77.61456861337362,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -44.8341608273624
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 3877272.1743268236,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 234.27825278378697,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.18166589662668
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 4121938.600442519,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.310272147922524,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.341996018925512
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 4440501.127562271,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.72846366720632,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 56.4364456581514
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 6523487.918954772,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 46.90882248544794,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.937240481154703
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 6188523.062460889,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.134750928573084,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.506067128479927
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 4558264.071116715,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.34326437649076,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.8763048749503843
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 10730569.827858012,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 135.4091307665105,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.045012054196818
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 60162.45979086488,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -99.43933583438714,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -78.65745576472818
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 4421198.16978073,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7248.765634167186,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.0125431269774166
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "hs_code": "100199",
      "hs_description": "Cereals: wheat and meslin, other than durum wheat, other than seed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23506800.351528175,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 94.47364080678999,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9290452714006291,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "hs_code": "100119",
      "hs_description": "Cereals: wheat and meslin, durum wheat, other than seed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16548449.344753258,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 89.007295153604,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0616315897111428,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
    "importer_iso3": "MWI",
    "distance_km": 9340,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 12626.718073999999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 642.6569485048616,
    "importer_population": 19647.68,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 37,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 32.6,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 491492.700657,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 10729.23281193945,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 24.516091226666664,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 24.516091226666664,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARG-MWI/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARG-MWI/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARG-MWI/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARG-MWI/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARG-MWI/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}