{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.472Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Argentina exports to Ethiopia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Argentina to Ethiopia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "ARG",
    "country_name": "Argentina"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "ETH",
    "country_name": "Ethiopia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
    "importer_iso3": "ETH",
    "all_history_lane_count": 15,
    "current_lane_count": 2,
    "current_product_count": 2,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1998,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 24766891.875419315,
    "attention_trade_usd": 24698332.04764715,
    "critical_trade_usd": 24698332.04764715,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 24766891.875419315,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 24698332.04764715,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 24766891.875419315,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 1,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 2,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6930294779538001,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 64.96792100472516,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 9944.78916411872,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 99.72317952483893,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "100199",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 24698332.04764715,
    "top_product_description": "Cereals: wheat and meslin, other than durum wheat, other than seed",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "100199",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 11256.400390625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 26.445658894949492,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 26.445658894949492,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 32,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 111271.11233,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 944,
    "buyer_population_latest": 117876.228,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 10.27232952973971,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 7.4007157215487895,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.6737380555600376,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 99.72317952483893,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 99.72317952483893,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Critical attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 111271.11233,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 944,
    "buyer_population_2024": 117876.228
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 1007495.0209220707,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 1607900.1890868684,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 59.59385959201071,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 6185810.092999425,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 284.7135621342495,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 110345.93936616722,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -98.21614408287368,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -52.15486152470692
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 114173.34974123078,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.4685557049479065,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -58.59031893661615
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 66745.0511110773,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -41.540603597641464,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -77.90261771536575
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 1349533.2750788396,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1921.9226034196045,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 130.3964308809356
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 70553.72727044702,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -94.77199054122431,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.823771465515833
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 135745.45675879897,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 92.4001211707194,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.697703906659708
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 387391.6403697773,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 185.38092516651884,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -34.033686285233024
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 299293.63458015147,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.741328570108934,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 61.879742954437454
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 1136047.75239667,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 279.57631607846105,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 103.02854138714702
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 867082.2019569577,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.67554971807193,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.808713889541295
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 1241239.8415250713,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 43.15134582668865,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 60.66430842573944
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 1307829.0240281275,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.364731317457583,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.80567389436608
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 1548938.1545705767,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.435829616307984,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.336445589850083
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 41606596.625362165,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2586.136725510326,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 222.43003846290895
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 3083091.654048873,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -92.58989702568098,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.08991717662133
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 2641410.0328447036,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.325932238314444,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.472306581810052
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 2105977.007936669,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.270727310420355,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -63.00890866480626
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 2087240.2500766085,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.8896943218966058,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.193095205953874
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 2654509.0790128787,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.17793646013915,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.16503120500006574
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 5336448.961792158,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 101.03336635701399,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 36.33255636905361
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 16966198.857714843,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 217.9304998359251,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 101.06541317131774
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 71768291.14932366,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 323.0074853607489,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 200.1346453852543
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 1101302.3826277943,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -98.4654749820692,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -40.904908936785745
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 70269931.56862554,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6280.621042601937,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 60.59363407727167
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 936160.4220448154,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -98.66776528573881,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -76.46003079587275
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 26247979.901543014,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2703.7908122852136,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 187.78165246131903
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "hs_code": "100199",
      "hs_description": "Cereals: wheat and meslin, other than durum wheat, other than seed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 61633520.62532136,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 64.973478525911,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6922079601539379,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "hs_code": "120991",
      "hs_description": "Seed: vegetable seed, of a kind used for sowing",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14922441.521392185,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 62.96585203707446,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9889771205218864,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
    "importer_iso3": "ETH",
    "distance_km": 11230,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 0,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 111271.11232999999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 943.9656682091999,
    "importer_population": 117876.228,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 32,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 45.4,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 491492.700657,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 10729.23281193945,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 26.445658894949492,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 26.445658894949492,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARG-ETH/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARG-ETH/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARG-ETH/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARG-ETH/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARG-ETH/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}