{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.398Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Argentina exports to Brazil: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Argentina to Brazil, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "ARG",
    "country_name": "Argentina"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "BRA",
    "country_name": "Brazil"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
    "importer_iso3": "BRA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 870,
    "current_lane_count": 606,
    "current_product_count": 606,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 13425499717.03893,
    "attention_trade_usd": 10065260451.797195,
    "critical_trade_usd": 321822087.32062113,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 3387504556.7617764,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1297019661.7262812,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 11069667976.241737,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 9,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 134,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 266,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 388,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 285,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7722175474792752,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 20.83274401551963,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 738.5892514319944,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 22.459314012059107,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 38.35835078010884,
    "top_product_hs6": "870421",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 3015275139.1378803,
    "top_product_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a gvw not exceeding 5 tonnes), n.e.c. in item no 8704.1",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "870421",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 1691.0670166015625,
    "shares_land_border": 1,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.060528721660375595,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 28.10371037559596,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 28.83659997252525,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 16.987236177789907,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 11.849363794735346,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 16.6,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1608981.220812,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 7519,
    "buyer_population_latest": 213993.439,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.134039194863969,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.688169663595019,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.43419756407150345,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 19.334000000000003,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 16.486,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 74.97121644584224,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 2.3970957811885514,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1608981.220812,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 7519,
    "buyer_population_2024": 213993.439
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 5857272100.462639,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 6847191644.58213,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.90069245786452,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 8195853265.869998,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.696565998046832,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 7976520849.857176,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.676138882649215,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.842429170482436
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 5769354974.785205,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.670784250648474,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.54935548325346
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 6927447529.847162,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.073172133165084,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.450401234140823
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 6194982671.502381,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.573372879244902,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.080243815049892
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 4803141683.08972,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.467229727942374,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.926772204497133
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 4711720591.006799,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.903360302794832,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.056834383565162
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 5543970133.775883,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.663389131299255,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.633312975975822
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 6301289725.797249,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.660239390675999,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.471570917439598
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 8122192592.171377,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.89730429184074,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.90333190692637
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 10460798807.28662,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.792794415750755,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.570457844123926
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 13262164652.144215,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.77965513404448,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.152865761233038
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 11290450746.351809,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.867210274558163,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.603890015476992
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 14432716063.485151,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.831176874392515,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.325436367854014
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 17099255235.468534,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.475657390155,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.839764437677688
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 16448632038.473557,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.804979737628611,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.3633927289589
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 16330096971.829308,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.7206378400768765,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.2030022804706135
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 14073099098.300152,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.821092902403787,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.286062935282565
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 10216652940.076323,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.40296313759091,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.678276736984387
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 9060867365.584864,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.312761442230457,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.82740480867294
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 9362094952.44436,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.3244895295965193,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.703982393832359
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 11211102191.929619,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.749930425588126,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.14461446264922
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 10554075788.478762,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.860497854741009,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.216409738980987
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 7924477299.313927,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.915478549390436,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.405505360974283
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 11870827364.751293,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 49.79949990870727,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.924258184173655
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 12932345015.67378,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.942238129707047,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.008684377131358
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 11948816829.365791,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.605180538533185,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.670426020053661
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 13614195246.697718,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.937601028739843,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.673560045512026
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "hs_code": "870421",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a gvw not exceeding 5 tonnes), n.e.c. in item no 8704.1",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3541216868.1295457,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7392076193479543,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "hs_code": "100199",
      "hs_description": "Cereals: wheat and meslin, other than durum wheat, other than seed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1705235915.9430299,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 27.177819452675855,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.31608895053303065,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "hs_code": "870322",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1275676870.5546873,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 30.779798155385496,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0666981381140326,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "hs_code": "870321",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity not exceeding 1000cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 780228781.0648246,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 36.96982233912539,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.034890597295436,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "hs_code": "870333",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity exceeding 2500cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 644016769.6014994,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6837376221081046,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "hs_code": "270900",
      "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 8284554074.544199,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 45.46100055381971,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0165207372336598,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "hs_code": "110710",
      "hs_description": "Malt: not roasted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 698075452.553268,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 4.764486898265653,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5993459107186352,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "hs_code": "040221",
      "hs_description": "Dairy produce: milk and cream, concentrated, not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter, in powder, granules or other solid forms, of a fat content exceeding 1.5% (by weight)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 527281542.03283775,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 1.745575305045215,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5410049311854088,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "hs_code": "100390",
      "hs_description": "Cereals: barley, other than seed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 271154307.31050205,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8493781989451828,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "hs_code": "840820",
      "hs_description": "Engines: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engines (diesel or semi-diesel engines), of a kind used for the propulsion of vehicles of chapter 87",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 524466867.2585638,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 27.496151698868655,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7419641377352382,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "ARG",
    "importer_iso3": "BRA",
    "distance_km": 1675,
    "shares_land_border": 1,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1608981.2208119999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7518.834354599067,
    "importer_population": 213993.439,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 16.6,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 4.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 491492.700657,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 10729.23281193945,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 28.10371037559596,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 28.83659997252525,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 16.987236177789907,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 11.849363794735346
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARG-BRA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARG-BRA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARG-BRA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARG-BRA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARG-BRA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}