{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.250Z", "seo": { "title": "United Arab Emirates exports to Uganda: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from United Arab Emirates to Uganda, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ARE", "country_name": "United Arab Emirates" }, "importer": { "iso3": "UGA", "country_name": "Uganda" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "all_history_lane_count": 81, "current_lane_count": 71, "current_product_count": 71, "first_observed_last_year": 2003, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 1119422964.048468, "attention_trade_usd": 881964559.8112415, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 884500081.8471234, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 17043897.747077238, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 888003069.6948097, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 15, "high_volatility_lane_count": 42, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 40, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 55, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.373036452620978, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 35.40844269463919, "product_concentration_hhi": 5503.462067882411, "top1_product_share_pct": 71.90998830586788, "top3_product_share_pct": 91.70736209560589, "top_product_hs6": "271012", "top_product_trade_usd": 804976922.5404531, "top_product_description": "", "top_attention_product_hs6": "271012", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 3570.4658203125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 16.473153908888893, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 16.473153908888893, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 24, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 40434.701516999994, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 858, "buyer_population_latest": 47123.531, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.805671720289032, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.56605150525753, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 3.0688087399671105, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 25.022, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 16.612000000000002, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 78.78742782098713, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 40434.701516999994, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 858, "buyer_population_2024": 47123.531 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 55464221.1772545, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 44558340.899348974, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.662910695260884, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 46370399.98209679, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.066711296188075, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 36717096.90767967, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.817812824871417, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.846438541027839 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 39173660.031835355, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.69051567538792, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.202307984250398 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 26775703.91369897, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.64870504328905, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.72780389346794 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 36065908.952221595, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.696398901279956, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.5947057022469115 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 66350722.061480954, "yoy_growth_pct": 83.97074686064127, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.202080233876927 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 93904473.73490198, "yoy_growth_pct": 41.52743303665869, "cagr_3y_pct": 51.93172265980317 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 78877312.17233874, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.002604524450913, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.803102740315435 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 127726201.19517218, "yoy_growth_pct": 61.93021501050098, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.397441260562314 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 430430638.6138458, "yoy_growth_pct": 236.9947861802652, "cagr_3y_pct": 66.1137687160473 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 492025157.3007458, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.30997544349033, "cagr_3y_pct": 84.08217423532302 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 612763844.0252051, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.539128728057904, "cagr_3y_pct": 68.65700300764472 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 415648928.8072079, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.168170028303635, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.1580823291815645 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 296946084.3101023, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.55843868953263, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.492206065349666 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 304754930.53644663, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.6297185377900156, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.77069075590946 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 434038231.7387133, "yoy_growth_pct": 42.42205400079828, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.453516930392107 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 398637706.42160565, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.156084586211854, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.314751464924822 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 484815327.4854311, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.618030526365352, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.7370014473903 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 778452588.6325017, "yoy_growth_pct": 60.566827098900774, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.497701093353605 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 862133846.4277959, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.749692276352496, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.319923780192482 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 1022339655.7154287, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.58247532577879, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.234915059880095 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 863473428.1593559, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.539476207141645, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.515552257601362 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 785669749.923002, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.010546902665661, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.0483706235117203 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 900857645.0327542, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.661108579150572, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.129059654644241 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 841545987.7261323, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.583910080983479, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.8537501109696866 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 1672422673.7208383, "yoy_growth_pct": 98.73217840890017, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.637819999898007 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 1980624534.9801407, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.428467043777207, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.031526818788066 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 1238570439.2881246, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.46566209730693, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.749008279454976 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "271012", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1036060483.7587988, "current_below_peak_pct": 35.36429097714509, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.469672440889451, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 786522985.5502865, "current_below_peak_pct": 39.47396436475, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9505063165039347, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "252310", "hs_description": "Cement clinkers (whether or not coloured)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 124991595.41121826, "current_below_peak_pct": 22.440606829058073, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.118408925594151, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "851712", "hs_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 55970532.69455539, "current_below_peak_pct": 26.231869698598683, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4355492127873906, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "390120", "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of 0.94 or more", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 47589387.23183748, "current_below_peak_pct": 41.091480027832326, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9626917459019406, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "730890", "hs_description": "Iron or steel: structures and parts thereof, n.e.s. in heading no. 7308", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 39415660.747282736, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.633664776760292, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "710812", "hs_description": "Metals: gold, non-monetary, unwrought (but not powder)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 243660261.60878137, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6604888763555494, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "870324", "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 3000cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20048976.735449318, "current_below_peak_pct": 49.356551775607635, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3698483928132337, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "870899", "hs_description": "Vehicle parts and accessories: n.e.c. in heading no. 8708", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12987664.855886, "current_below_peak_pct": 5.865214450835795, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6264780511581821, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "390210", "hs_description": "Propylene, other olefin polymers: polypropylene in primary forms", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 34760961.14722241, "current_below_peak_pct": 39.33678983227472, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9094084104599294, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "distance_km": 3688, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 40434.701517, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 858.0575491467309, "importer_population": 47123.531, "importer_biz_entry_days": 24, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 40.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 358868.765175, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35918.90540545004, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 16.473153908888893, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 16.473153908888893, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-UGA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-UGA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-UGA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-UGA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-UGA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }