{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.451Z", "seo": { "title": "United Arab Emirates exports to Taiwan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from United Arab Emirates to Taiwan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ARE", "country_name": "United Arab Emirates" }, "importer": { "iso3": "TWN", "country_name": "Taiwan" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "all_history_lane_count": 170, "current_lane_count": 52, "current_product_count": 52, "first_observed_last_year": 1997, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 2891423406.274199, "attention_trade_usd": 62464692.29241068, "critical_trade_usd": 46038283.99299671, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 79144802.25578131, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 712666857.6249667, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 249567872.14344624, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 2, "high_attention_lane_count": 8, "high_volatility_lane_count": 19, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 22, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 19, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7174580169312587, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 46.83543669280053, "product_concentration_hhi": 4850.523078310858, "top1_product_share_pct": 66.85200132565245, "top3_product_share_pct": 91.2425985295341, "top_product_hs6": "270900", "top_product_trade_usd": 1932974413.892653, "top_product_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude", "top_attention_product_hs6": "271112", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 6706.3564453125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 610872, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 25889, "buyer_population_latest": 23596.027, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": null, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": null, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Macro trend unavailable", "attention_trade_share_pct": 2.1603440076215197, "critical_trade_share_pct": 1.592235986369089, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 610872, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 25889, "buyer_population_2024": 23596.027 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 423102139.8091193, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 420837829.4340829, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.5351687363381985, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 503265356.61281174, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.586529872937586, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 268470457.712121, "yoy_growth_pct": -46.65429396550549, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.068888930135914 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 480350216.33287466, "yoy_growth_pct": 78.92107028325286, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.507567562854065 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 583219881.619649, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.41555510729436, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.037673730420544 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 662639948.5785105, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.61751707405885, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.143046158793666 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 1229572949.4258296, "yoy_growth_pct": 85.55671931091673, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.79349210773386 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 1437900721.2996962, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.943099795026306, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.092797058631845 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 2060424525.0879402, "yoy_growth_pct": 43.29393501003007, "cagr_3y_pct": 45.95748295426398 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 1566230509.566511, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.985057909380924, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.401125941374609 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 4466759261.889182, "yoy_growth_pct": 185.19169015073373, "cagr_3y_pct": 45.91094885574303 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 4656818577.16871, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.254971090587567, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.233346221916314 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 6292530202.622999, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.12508804774575, "cagr_3y_pct": 58.972941348652185 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 3074267093.031837, "yoy_growth_pct": -51.14418216458701, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.709017444645953 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 3163723675.718403, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.909850705208039, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.090378820981263 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 3737935459.0772104, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.149871550599883, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.93752680196049 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 4943028013.440428, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.2395227942411, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.15221164051959 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 6050982311.119975, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.41448550699985, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.129721099656145 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 7000871586.313573, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.698100347243994, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.26509206933021 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 7607419182.086153, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.663886893145655, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.455535122745445 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 5145758596.138772, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.35868205795818, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.258299625090446 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 6894001498.61291, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.974444580162945, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.5114532066661681 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 5644522825.632177, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.124142752683348, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.46914358804185 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 6288874940.072987, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.415528545916409, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.915626071589864 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 4430747833.679039, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.546256271592874, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.701770304186379 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 6839115192.918924, "yoy_growth_pct": 54.355775811328776, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.60826980485083 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 8478899999.425697, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.976563638006443, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.472839844302428 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 4740397747.415054, "yoy_growth_pct": -44.09183092457587, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.2772988486308376 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 2906266023.0583034, "yoy_growth_pct": -38.69151539777238, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.81835650467774 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "hs_code": "270900", "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24380354371.689835, "current_below_peak_pct": 39.35030947443165, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6827708556492988, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 5535676504.303747, "current_below_peak_pct": 74.00326551495804, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7221991631564842, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "hs_code": "271111", "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, natural gas", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10229176641.57138, "current_below_peak_pct": 32.04920017478139, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8467940385828056, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "hs_code": "760120", "hs_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, alloys", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 536488686.3046687, "current_below_peak_pct": 60.50480464001146, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4694380526673756, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "hs_code": "271113", "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, butanes", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 191636033.88978583, "current_below_peak_pct": 77.82166898582565, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9577465835568073, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "hs_code": "271112", "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, propane", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 398164326.11947674, "current_below_peak_pct": 94.15629424856978, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.334067179246973, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "hs_code": "240220", "hs_description": "Cigarettes: containing tobacco", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 224802299.23888928, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5881456157550948, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "hs_code": "760110", "hs_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, (not alloyed)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 719801380.9180504, "current_below_peak_pct": 87.43742974880801, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3150654728886206, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "hs_code": "390110", "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of less than 0.94", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 336777800.2852527, "current_below_peak_pct": 30.12993407264302, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9412094838532259, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "hs_code": "390120", "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of 0.94 or more", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 133464890.88634016, "current_below_peak_pct": 26.97237907301684, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6999607577081844, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "distance_km": 6596, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 610872, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 25888.765087444594, "importer_population": 23596.027, "importer_biz_entry_days": null, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 358868.765175, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35918.90540545004, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-TWN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-TWN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-TWN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-TWN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-TWN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }