{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.427Z", "seo": { "title": "United Arab Emirates exports to Türkiye: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from United Arab Emirates to Türkiye, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ARE", "country_name": "United Arab Emirates" }, "importer": { "iso3": "TUR", "country_name": "Türkiye" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "all_history_lane_count": 556, "current_lane_count": 445, "current_product_count": 445, "first_observed_last_year": 1999, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 11412171437.207642, "attention_trade_usd": 10241804311.824581, "critical_trade_usd": 102700730.9961581, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 11118649913.405367, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 201920705.24958128, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 10232056654.241318, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 3, "high_attention_lane_count": 33, "high_volatility_lane_count": 399, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 194, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 133, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.3381913475255214, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 12.665077306513151, "product_concentration_hhi": 6432.873613509082, "top1_product_share_pct": 79.8505886610663, "top3_product_share_pct": 89.54007780460917, "top_product_hs6": "710812", "top_product_trade_usd": 9112686071.62037, "top_product_description": "Metals: gold, non-monetary, unwrought (but not powder)", "top_attention_product_hs6": "710812", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 2994.24560546875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.023399999365210533, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.163618151373738, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.772561373939395, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 4.848006187414141, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.924555186525253, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 7, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 815271.751724, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 9587, "buyer_population_latest": 85042.732, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 11.86543006803118, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 11.08568690227736, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7019294631897877, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.79, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 23.340000000000003, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 89.74457112020542, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0.899922784732431, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 815271.751724, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 9587, "buyer_population_2024": 85042.732 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 38888274.180694334, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 21174022.249537382, "yoy_growth_pct": -45.551653562324965, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 23601364.99604925, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.463777254531337, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 23632514.99979156, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.13198390748807576, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.297331886022846 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 70583047.63008636, "yoy_growth_pct": 198.66921751962883, "cagr_3y_pct": 49.38225593257184 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 99752617.01513839, "yoy_growth_pct": 41.32659379901635, "cagr_3y_pct": 61.68226788348752 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 92630696.09300861, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.139583035750297, "cagr_3y_pct": 57.669731656127034 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 103716744.81805576, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.96800757484957, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.688400706901916 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 104773554.0239149, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.018937884825677, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.6504079397746008 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 160990324.01248378, "yoy_growth_pct": 53.65549590475589, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.230581869508878 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 163220753.62335318, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.3854432709238251, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.31672532822208 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 280226340.5808694, "yoy_growth_pct": 71.6854838371334, "cagr_3y_pct": 38.80946910373202 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 397978094.58554184, "yoy_growth_pct": 42.020230418236125, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.21342009074695 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 631843171.1718509, "yoy_growth_pct": 58.763303751644514, "cagr_3y_pct": 57.01626379921949 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 1027267430.8384464, "yoy_growth_pct": 62.58265938574916, "cagr_3y_pct": 54.1907027812208 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 611008978.6488236, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.52094320267473, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.362008296044593 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 1426498813.933236, "yoy_growth_pct": 133.46609686289304, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.185964588265726 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 3683961069.3435483, "yoy_growth_pct": 158.25195460106198, "cagr_3y_pct": 53.0654494194416 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 5233924316.60245, "yoy_growth_pct": 42.07327976826565, "cagr_3y_pct": 104.60988694556215 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 3459127434.531004, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.909486930134634, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.348157772943225 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 2257527335.4138474, "yoy_growth_pct": -34.73708679021455, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.061224616052883 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 3969177152.6481466, "yoy_growth_pct": 75.81967183225808, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.807802447756952 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 5286357127.451452, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.185215074729335, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.185190738834597 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 3715098451.555154, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.72290062918622, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.062625388072373 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 3782231418.8221583, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.8070306384182722, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.5952931921253355 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 5537720341.839821, "yoy_growth_pct": 46.41410661128575, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.5605023164912968 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 2902542759.858289, "yoy_growth_pct": -47.58596352494817, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.8979211005444245 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 5695320337.196757, "yoy_growth_pct": 96.21830954438104, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.619018737053025 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 13488912669.297338, "yoy_growth_pct": 136.842036455786, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.54946472819258 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 11469068456.173567, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.974106976919055, "cagr_3y_pct": 58.09440709657498 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "hs_code": "710812", "hs_description": "Metals: gold, non-monetary, unwrought (but not powder)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20048457150.815643, "current_below_peak_pct": 9.849279405753549, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1656605654827439, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "hs_code": "760110", "hs_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, (not alloyed)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2373532905.3083725, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 3.431592910770672, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "hs_code": "711319", "hs_description": "Jewellery: of precious metal (excluding silver) whether or not plated or clad with precious metal, and parts thereof", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 6708448546.523458, "current_below_peak_pct": 43.809278947547554, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1902813425060494, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "hs_code": "240220", "hs_description": "Cigarettes: containing tobacco", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 377589454.9881037, "current_below_peak_pct": 2.6140026623966235, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.499619835780743, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23893438601.14917, "current_below_peak_pct": 27.799886772223843, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6021797139660565, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "hs_code": "760120", "hs_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, alloys", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1073509521.1709723, "current_below_peak_pct": 28.422999367794237, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.873288326387622, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "hs_code": "710691", "hs_description": "Metals: silver, unwrought, (but not powder)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 380710120.4506379, "current_below_peak_pct": 77.12117314785901, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.105001717157064, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "hs_code": "390210", "hs_description": "Propylene, other olefin polymers: polypropylene in primary forms", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2176455121.6836863, "current_below_peak_pct": 31.903715856554705, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0104510303620091, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "hs_code": "841112", "hs_description": "Turbo-jets: of a thrust exceeding 25kN", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 942536915.6500679, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4806801605426694, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "hs_code": "390230", "hs_description": "Propylene, other olefin polymers: propylene copolymers in primary forms", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 601755745.071701, "current_below_peak_pct": 45.27601687295462, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8290684390240601, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "distance_km": 2996, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 815271.751724, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9586.612900959013, "importer_population": 85042.732, "importer_biz_entry_days": 7, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 358868.765175, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35918.90540545004, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.163618151373738, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.772561373939395, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 4.848006187414141, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.924555186525253 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-TUR/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-TUR/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-TUR/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-TUR/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-TUR/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }