{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.355Z", "seo": { "title": "United Arab Emirates exports to Suriname: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from United Arab Emirates to Suriname, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ARE", "country_name": "United Arab Emirates" }, "importer": { "iso3": "SUR", "country_name": "Suriname" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SUR", "all_history_lane_count": 15, "current_lane_count": 10, "current_product_count": 10, "first_observed_last_year": 2012, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 24391400.338617105, "attention_trade_usd": 20749434.30665511, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 107324.60963812801, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 933970.739379341, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 22606261.936535865, "access_friction_trade_usd": 24391400.338617105, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 3, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 8, "access_friction_lane_count": 10, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8622945967834815, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 17.06558380038678, "product_concentration_hhi": 7298.32651772987, "top1_product_share_pct": 85.06864722237395, "top3_product_share_pct": 94.959441430863, "top_product_hs6": "240220", "top_product_trade_usd": 20749434.30665511, "top_product_description": "Cigarettes: containing tobacco", "top_attention_product_hs6": "240220", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 11708.353515625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 17.13603007858586, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 17.13603007858586, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 66, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 2862.13198, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 4836, "buyer_population_latest": 591.798, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 1.9204749945602506, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 0.9824319209819077, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.9289170955125714, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 42.388, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 29.952000000000005, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 85.06864722237395, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 2862.13198, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 4836, "buyer_population_2024": 591.798 }, "history": [ { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SUR", "export_value_usd": 10252.617359154385, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SUR", "export_value_usd": 31703.964362868144, "yoy_growth_pct": 209.22800736887174, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SUR", "export_value_usd": 26358.064870407114, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.86192752197948, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SUR", "export_value_usd": 102559.61661613584, "yoy_growth_pct": 289.10146522661535, "cagr_3y_pct": 115.46689163343929 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SUR", "export_value_usd": 59092.84347596451, "yoy_growth_pct": -42.38195751341435, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.06666705865521 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SUR", "export_value_usd": 35362.43064232353, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.15784558293106, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.291707925757398 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SUR", "export_value_usd": 66348.32837496862, "yoy_growth_pct": 87.62377803170469, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.512927106510197 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SUR", "export_value_usd": 64583.08638474494, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.6605673925157447, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.0057106091350816 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SUR", "export_value_usd": 37556.23715448266, "yoy_growth_pct": -41.84818463034347, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.0265781982620634 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SUR", "export_value_usd": 242011.30002529197, "yoy_growth_pct": 544.3970918327366, "cagr_3y_pct": 53.93423570239886 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SUR", "export_value_usd": 176142.73327021438, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.21714512842741, "cagr_3y_pct": 39.71680478768902 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SUR", "export_value_usd": 91927.1119471653, "yoy_growth_pct": -47.811010854394354, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.768123437639645 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SUR", "export_value_usd": 150351.16144688232, "yoy_growth_pct": 63.55475361098692, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.672232906365334 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SUR", "export_value_usd": 390598.2478589797, "yoy_growth_pct": 159.7906421873398, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.403281396166438 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SUR", "export_value_usd": 395351.60377229634, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.2169424566985665, "cagr_3y_pct": 62.62224900257234 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SUR", "export_value_usd": 169165.84628454188, "yoy_growth_pct": -57.21129124798661, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.008452037508503 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SUR", "export_value_usd": 10254573.071296941, "yoy_growth_pct": 5961.845991092346, "cagr_3y_pct": 197.20932480976265 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SUR", "export_value_usd": 2794237.083726463, "yoy_growth_pct": -72.75130749667511, "cagr_3y_pct": 91.90807497862461 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SUR", "export_value_usd": 1692571.29213308, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.42635354778752, "cagr_3y_pct": 115.48221357441251 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SUR", "export_value_usd": 8564267.22324853, "yoy_growth_pct": 405.9915208921762, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.827476419167876 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SUR", "export_value_usd": 3204439.558652262, "yoy_growth_pct": -62.58361077345296, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.671780274783233 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SUR", "export_value_usd": 2665731.865689587, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.811292055988957, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.347350453961408 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SUR", "export_value_usd": 11152797.634461608, "yoy_growth_pct": 318.3765733533946, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.202153811313618 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SUR", "export_value_usd": 12233387.248492336, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.688955627525765, "cagr_3y_pct": 56.29012782607143 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SUR", "export_value_usd": 5020391.588888053, "yoy_growth_pct": -58.961557523597776, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.492441413317522 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SUR", "export_value_usd": 14960879.317156745, "yoy_growth_pct": 198.00223851602726, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.28702773777952 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SUR", "export_value_usd": 19112907.40303871, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.75256719784196, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.036158894652285 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SUR", "export_value_usd": 28580508.84128063, "yoy_growth_pct": 49.53511906166976, "cagr_3y_pct": 78.55723593737292 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SUR", "export_value_usd": 26720682.90210441, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.507322698502682, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.32868143820261 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SUR", "hs_code": "240220", "hs_description": "Cigarettes: containing tobacco", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 36504982.499754936, "current_below_peak_pct": 15.107498667469532, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8569965102435004, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SUR", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 93868212.8381396, "current_below_peak_pct": 30.26301433076902, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.924897524639846, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SUR", "hs_code": "851712", "hs_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13980970.68575734, "current_below_peak_pct": 56.123907281239916, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7878771483568213, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SUR", "hs_code": "870323", "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26208061.039634913, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9793682802402859, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SUR", "hs_code": "271012", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 106774118.54536998, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.779505657038362, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SUR", "hs_code": "870421", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a gvw not exceeding 5 tonnes), n.e.c. in item no 8704.1", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 33035679.406874795, "current_below_peak_pct": 52.647753158744045, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.707203194442759, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SUR", "hs_code": "843143", "hs_description": "Boring or sinking machinery: parts of the machinery of item no. 8430.41 or 8430.41", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14398908.503079584, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9637575074524967, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SUR", "hs_code": "843149", "hs_description": "Machinery: parts of machines handling earth, minerals or ores and n.e.c. in heading no. 8431", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27174511.437997177, "current_below_peak_pct": 34.04626437766666, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0047858030801917, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SUR", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10849606.53590663, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5287088364289505, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SUR", "hs_code": "840999", "hs_description": "Engines: parts for internal combustion piston engines (excluding spark-ignition)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10912378.288165651, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4473179355194943, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SUR", "distance_km": 11770, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 2862.13198, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4836.3326337703065, "importer_population": 591.798, "importer_biz_entry_days": 66, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 93.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 358868.765175, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35918.90540545004, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 17.13603007858586, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 17.13603007858586, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-SUR/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-SUR/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-SUR/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-SUR/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-SUR/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }