{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.238Z", "seo": { "title": "United Arab Emirates exports to Singapore: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from United Arab Emirates to Singapore, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ARE", "country_name": "United Arab Emirates" }, "importer": { "iso3": "SGP", "country_name": "Singapore" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "all_history_lane_count": 451, "current_lane_count": 332, "current_product_count": 332, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 11173345000.051237, "attention_trade_usd": 2143114710.3623314, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 2338409206.2993903, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 3895411136.0674653, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 104640.27219815236, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 302583603.0640818, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 40, "high_volatility_lane_count": 278, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 196, "declining_demand_lane_count": 2, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 115, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8841493578137528, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 44.54446457036828, "product_concentration_hhi": 3705.307652128397, "top1_product_share_pct": 57.838708190035085, "top3_product_share_pct": 82.57487564257026, "top_product_hs6": "270900", "top_product_trade_usd": 6462518409.64551, "top_product_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude", "top_attention_product_hs6": "271012", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 5904.87158203125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.3564984112044444, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0.3564984112044444, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.3564984112044444, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 1.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 396986.899888, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 72794, "buyer_population_latest": 5453.566, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 7.791336242259628, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.573928477882984, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.1423129294040102, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.51, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 51.083999999999996, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 19.180600888565632, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 396986.899888, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 72794, "buyer_population_2024": 5453.566 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 1335609846.5620005, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 1908496199.3209302, "yoy_growth_pct": 42.893241183688424, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 1515950596.871491, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.568319842036498, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 754135147.9160779, "yoy_growth_pct": -50.25331633679835, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.34739929565513 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 1226176698.4164534, "yoy_growth_pct": 62.59376078741068, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.71130125112414 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 1571613738.902987, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.171881012960732, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.209261545414142 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 1275636254.2375858, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.832711711466622, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.149591322924287 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 2543675321.3818717, "yoy_growth_pct": 99.40443938716366, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.537002603436367 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 2665851789.215839, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.803147115788109, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.26052806456131 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 2877189208.3256636, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.927575717627944, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.143626710887172 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 2467616291.502139, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.235174928306826, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.0068104388298527 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 5327777834.968817, "yoy_growth_pct": 115.90787244015073, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.961174654889696 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 5306522975.237208, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.3989441825464679, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.634841865012568 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 8095871164.380344, "yoy_growth_pct": 52.56451733384699, "cagr_3y_pct": 48.59196291613546 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 6537400953.44095, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.250185425334386, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.05813457040223 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 7466563434.538549, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.213025753124953, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.05646127831752 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 13008948270.347897, "yoy_growth_pct": 74.22939461240752, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.127677762701587 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 20824047957.87732, "yoy_growth_pct": 60.07480024609573, "cagr_3y_pct": 47.13636109624928 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 27469030906.804745, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.91014044132452, "cagr_3y_pct": 54.374012656609864 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 23079633809.346012, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.9794392177533, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.058580086752123 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 15396729560.650627, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.28867482110665, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.575154493226368 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 12993221936.49524, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.610507508672654, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.08438441673649 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 13874037354.28047, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.779037732829019, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.603458777724333 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 13239908295.08184, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.570616634551483, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.906208154654712 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 16474533342.446817, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.43087199151166, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.234426836325316 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 9457245962.328827, "yoy_growth_pct": -42.594756611635674, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.99231276555388 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 17190473426.391315, "yoy_growth_pct": 81.77039589396698, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.094022034136295 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 19087907578.52056, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.037707368874727, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.030411569496374 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 17121113721.267591, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.30387353439506, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.877192804111488 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 11238016715.850063, "yoy_growth_pct": -34.36164902117105, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.210481529636963 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "hs_code": "270900", "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27133233591.719215, "current_below_peak_pct": 41.11417081648305, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7815524251210039, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "hs_code": "271012", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20555950506.49155, "current_below_peak_pct": 56.07330821657354, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0070665190514925, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 31118342186.0383, "current_below_peak_pct": 53.78932694598281, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7418756000100701, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "hs_code": "710812", "hs_description": "Metals: gold, non-monetary, unwrought (but not powder)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 9508741347.402382, "current_below_peak_pct": 67.42558228902111, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9963801763611675, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "hs_code": "710813", "hs_description": "Metals: gold, semi-manufactured", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 9497279344.676394, "current_below_peak_pct": 62.549397735045666, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1777764037230236, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "hs_code": "711319", "hs_description": "Jewellery: of precious metal (excluding silver) whether or not plated or clad with precious metal, and parts thereof", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 4057372697.0672193, "current_below_peak_pct": 5.295685756991284, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9118036746899463, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "hs_code": "240220", "hs_description": "Cigarettes: containing tobacco", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 545400976.1588668, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.34815204247131, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "hs_code": "710811", "hs_description": "Metals: gold, non-monetary, powder", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 82938637.64744133, "current_below_peak_pct": 10.496532271398165, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2184869170094876, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "hs_code": "880310", "hs_description": "Aircraft and spacecraft: propellers and rotors and parts thereof", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 124227419.7564567, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 4.099223835995112, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "hs_code": "271113", "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, butanes", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 198180912.6353792, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.069333815928497, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "distance_km": 5842, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 396986.89988800004, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 72794.00302260944, "importer_population": 5453.566, "importer_biz_entry_days": 1.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.4, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 358868.765175, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35918.90540545004, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.3564984112044444, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0.3564984112044444, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.3564984112044444 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-SGP/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-SGP/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-SGP/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-SGP/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-SGP/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }