{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.281Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "United Arab Emirates exports to Poland: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from United Arab Emirates to Poland, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "ARE",
    "country_name": "United Arab Emirates"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "POL",
    "country_name": "Poland"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
    "importer_iso3": "POL",
    "all_history_lane_count": 213,
    "current_lane_count": 117,
    "current_product_count": 117,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1996,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 282223025.094898,
    "attention_trade_usd": 129616065.39824677,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 164748813.46034157,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 79043047.04554078,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 76958923.49899931,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 16,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 73,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 31,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 31,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.4433246735593406,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 33.8086190735591,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 880.1076918977597,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 18.51923298608271,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 44.14698273706406,
    "top_product_hs6": "760120",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 52265539.55769483,
    "top_product_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, alloys",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "271019",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 4181.62841796875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.09669518989899,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.09669518989899,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 37,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 674048.2663969999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 17841,
    "buyer_population_latest": 37781.025,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.774876361756622,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 9.599090635201723,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.7520265621440814,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.94,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.524,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 45.926821652720626,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 674048.2663969999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 17841,
    "buyer_population_2024": 37781.025
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 6122461.549733392,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 2448615.7501565847,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -60.006024859997495,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 2330373.6342219585,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.828937162846591,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 6207966.553565001,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 166.39361441443933,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.46337579949409236
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 8599879.681799736,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 38.52973606729806,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 52.00478012813039
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 5653304.558235007,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -34.26298079263459,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.36689296676197
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 11164065.252385145,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 97.4785744759279,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.606745529035678
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 32022163.13237185,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 186.8324611908774,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 54.99562159520504
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 38059204.4740663,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.85269685479645,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 88.82193384535945
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 48016012.942952335,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.16136781227427,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 62.62522470287235
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 50566712.29424661,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.312184821186117,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.449604382498805
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 66630939.513805166,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 31.768383766144748,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.52359485811912
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 92243641.88983564,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 38.43965365477673,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.31306718994959
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 72434198.9818312,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.475130970720336,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.7265757007202
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 36904465.6845721,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -49.0510474288134,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.87646001625739
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 50414682.69171297,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 36.608623798037556,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.24012872951012
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 84312759.06843944,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 67.23849991085741,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.192121314461584
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 85974968.17935038,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.9714799151118623,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.56565865763399
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 101602029.29374844,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.176291826940627,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.313115769975127
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 147236074.87071347,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 44.91450209624197,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.422316312790613
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 116231666.64971785,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.05761665286193,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.573438186684903
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 116204469.30896522,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.023399252145794858,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.577956152560536
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 181566355.86706194,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 56.24730868510066,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.23594467798041
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 290747469.4910695,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 60.13289912804498,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 35.74707885918891
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 155275767.71504998,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -46.59428404076983,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.143858023335017
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 122651525.90123673,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.01051715531217,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.256990509512
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 208405441.3475198,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 69.91671307484188,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.505220269497418
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 339330934.24629444,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 62.82249256652279,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.76968662623154
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 658075678.7594243,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 93.93330001613629,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 75.06565845929059
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 305315155.0053454,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -53.60485657502003,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.57422169596938
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "760120",
      "hs_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, alloys",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1590228329.5407147,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 44.3751254756711,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6822455623814656,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "271019",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 5610472194.533945,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 61.00310920479765,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.270989790937382,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "851712",
      "hs_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 5853995396.901201,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 48.15692404528182,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5502070072449008,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "800120",
      "hs_description": "Tin: unwrought, alloys",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 36568820.85400845,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7858042681260744,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "890190",
      "hs_description": "Vessels: n.e.s. in heading no. 8901, for the transport of goods and other vessels for the transport of both persons and goods",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 725002846.5392492,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.289259672276303,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "090230",
      "hs_description": "Tea, black: (fermented) and partly fermented tea, in immediate packings of a content not exceeding 3kg",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 51895074.46671243,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7228771731978556,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "730890",
      "hs_description": "Iron or steel: structures and parts thereof, n.e.s. in heading no. 7308",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 707924138.0000033,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 77.0188396962387,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 3.027790117386906,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "760511",
      "hs_description": "Aluminium: (not alloyed), wire, maximum cross-sectional dimension exceeds 7mm",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 84209398.9643159,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 22.611852836770723,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.497774111151537,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "880330",
      "hs_description": "Aircraft and spacecraft: parts of aeroplanes or helicopters n.e.c. in heading no. 8803",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 455178967.7511114,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 16.275076494105452,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2172115865108608,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "330300",
      "hs_description": "Perfumes and toilet waters",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 844058101.3595423,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4309771744848132,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
    "importer_iso3": "POL",
    "distance_km": 4154,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 674048.2663969999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17840.920578438512,
    "importer_population": 37781.025,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 37,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 11.6,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 358868.765175,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35918.90540545004,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.09669518989899,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.09669518989899,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-POL/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-POL/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-POL/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-POL/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-POL/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}