{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.309Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "United Arab Emirates exports to New Zealand: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from United Arab Emirates to New Zealand, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "ARE",
    "country_name": "United Arab Emirates"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "NZL",
    "country_name": "New Zealand"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
    "importer_iso3": "NZL",
    "all_history_lane_count": 132,
    "current_lane_count": 90,
    "current_product_count": 90,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2003,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 82426839.29166311,
    "attention_trade_usd": 69775213.73611741,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 49899680.04167173,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 33793202.41603618,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 31842391.2330588,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 82426839.29166311,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 12,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 58,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 47,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 44,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 90,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.299013220858605,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 33.164994343459504,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 925.9764750925441,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 19.81283920301829,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 43.283113209712184,
    "top_product_hs6": "570320",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 16331097.128987512,
    "top_product_description": "Carpets and other textile floor coverings: tufted, of nylon or other polyamides, whether or not made up",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "570320",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 14269.962890625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.286112317111109,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.286112317111109,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 0.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 249991.512237,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 48802,
    "buyer_population_latest": 5122.6,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.081545685717014,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.801671873563638,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.2449931881725718,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.52,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 23.785999999999998,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 84.65108493268973,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 249991.512237,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 48802,
    "buyer_population_2024": 5122.6
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "NZL",
      "export_value_usd": 49107442.82829396,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "NZL",
      "export_value_usd": 31463782.509690955,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -35.92868881463597,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "NZL",
      "export_value_usd": 72867221.40093248,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 131.59078657656346,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "NZL",
      "export_value_usd": 32291987.773162868,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -55.68379423240965,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.040743098599183
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "NZL",
      "export_value_usd": 63999722.0951333,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 98.19071698126307,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.70362849999366
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "NZL",
      "export_value_usd": 218084893.58313316,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 240.7591258895746,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 44.11121890936391
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "NZL",
      "export_value_usd": 110912503.29959673,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -49.142509837657656,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 50.87892323970795
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "NZL",
      "export_value_usd": 263869759.2616851,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 137.9080368864459,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 60.35057104724637
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "NZL",
      "export_value_usd": 532151553.73485214,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 101.67205034173938,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.62836874815456
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "NZL",
      "export_value_usd": 406676473.987486,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.578824277920805,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 54.20182511154881
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "NZL",
      "export_value_usd": 507665686.4230048,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.832814016831083,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.37394114153808
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "NZL",
      "export_value_usd": 564241076.181481,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.14422173322458,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.9709475379137587
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "NZL",
      "export_value_usd": 674655220.4646485,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.568611528674708,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.37980273671782
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "NZL",
      "export_value_usd": 738772194.5906434,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.503665306530396,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.3211336378257
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "NZL",
      "export_value_usd": 470105380.0922732,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.366665728024536,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.902769619752856
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "NZL",
      "export_value_usd": 925776032.3363079,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 96.92946976156598,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.124038411591686
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "NZL",
      "export_value_usd": 794122418.8558633,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.220892406147168,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.4375002057580586
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "NZL",
      "export_value_usd": 338256687.4487924,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -57.404969382914814,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.391256014987693
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "NZL",
      "export_value_usd": 1491914022.9925222,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 341.0597272281212,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.240938882585244
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "NZL",
      "export_value_usd": 1136232455.9669104,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.840620943569924,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.683391896981178
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "NZL",
      "export_value_usd": 577407514.9860153,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -49.18227234631725,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.512137379970728
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "NZL",
      "export_value_usd": 1799070641.6767035,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 211.57728207265825,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.439168573559129
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "NZL",
      "export_value_usd": 2594579224.8189754,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 44.21775136082879,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.684072316092895
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "NZL",
      "export_value_usd": 2051515759.224361,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.930695058367476,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 52.59166382759899
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "NZL",
      "export_value_usd": 2955865574.9771876,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 44.082031136565305,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.999134273303707
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "NZL",
      "export_value_usd": 1524670119.2718356,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -48.41882756175059,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.240067715260842
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "NZL",
      "export_value_usd": 2846046236.936232,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 86.6663615271394,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.52931409604987
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "NZL",
      "export_value_usd": 750812885.633039,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -73.61909037566133,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -36.669097166155154
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "NZL",
      "export_value_usd": 102581235.27004547,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -86.33731023628405,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -59.32782990340522
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "NZL",
      "export_value_usd": 102091614.98476505,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.4773000480950529,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -67.02009698254372
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "NZL",
      "hs_code": "570320",
      "hs_description": "Carpets and other textile floor coverings: tufted, of nylon or other polyamides, whether or not made up",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 50791687.09408714,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2982597754683052,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "NZL",
      "hs_code": "890391",
      "hs_description": "Sailboats: with or without auxiliary motor, for pleasure or sports, other than inflatable",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21840913.143122617,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.7021435200240824,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "NZL",
      "hs_code": "390120",
      "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of 0.94 or more",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 59993564.25589394,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 75.00849711190763,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8529809631115616,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "NZL",
      "hs_code": "711319",
      "hs_description": "Jewellery: of precious metal (excluding silver) whether or not plated or clad with precious metal, and parts thereof",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 91268213.49012569,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 25.19386924698253,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.816555602738,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "NZL",
      "hs_code": "701090",
      "hs_description": "Glass: carboys, bottles, flasks, jars, pots, phials and other containers of glass, (not ampoules), used for the conveyance or packing of goods",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 44847727.380342595,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 78.50709550268155,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5362435649313123,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "NZL",
      "hs_code": "570330",
      "hs_description": "Carpets and other textile floor coverings: tufted, of man-made textile materials (other than polyamides), whether or not made up",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20830088.62327188,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 66.36202696682082,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.314011868427142,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "NZL",
      "hs_code": "390230",
      "hs_description": "Propylene, other olefin polymers: propylene copolymers in primary forms",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14744118.191499323,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 12.570156074808612,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4987598021110743,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "NZL",
      "hs_code": "390110",
      "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of less than 0.94",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 59829799.9475431,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 59.89501242201698,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7121028128829319,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "NZL",
      "hs_code": "330300",
      "hs_description": "Perfumes and toilet waters",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 92552408.32409622,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2847150810719128,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "NZL",
      "hs_code": "880529",
      "hs_description": "Ground flying trainers and parts thereof: other than air combat simulators and parts thereof",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17480682.403066084,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9822147186791345,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
    "importer_iso3": "NZL",
    "distance_km": 14202,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 249991.512237,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 48801.685128059966,
    "importer_population": 5122.6,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 0.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 358868.765175,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35918.90540545004,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.286112317111109,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.286112317111109,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-NZL/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-NZL/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-NZL/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-NZL/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-NZL/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}