{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.426Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "United Arab Emirates exports to Mozambique: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from United Arab Emirates to Mozambique, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "ARE",
    "country_name": "United Arab Emirates"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "MOZ",
    "country_name": "Mozambique"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
    "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
    "all_history_lane_count": 136,
    "current_lane_count": 111,
    "current_product_count": 111,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1998,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 326327945.55540776,
    "attention_trade_usd": 281984011.88426703,
    "critical_trade_usd": 103629962.98452747,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 298673074.01053053,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 244153962.196406,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 190977170.2397039,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 1,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 20,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 81,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 62,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 90,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.4360375233931744,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 67.09476806471866,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 2205.4457660389394,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 33.664209754453445,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 70.7322129308481,
    "top_product_hs6": "271012",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 109855724.0791711,
    "top_product_description": "",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "271012",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 6084.78466796875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.242294937777773,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.242294937777773,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 17,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 16095.828897,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 500,
    "buyer_population_latest": 32163.044,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 7.954483087134578,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.817694878255674,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.9926132343610856,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 35.316,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 8.148,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 86.4112362195436,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 31.756386296659343,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Critical attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 16095.828897,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 500,
    "buyer_population_2024": 32163.044
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 4568649.2668395145,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 10008307.1252493,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 119.06490388509981,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 11803911.756099965,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.941142376822672,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 5291420.113533406,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -55.17231725492244,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.0174515339348025
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 11190443.864514224,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 111.48280847883156,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.791605438833834
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 5283077.180695712,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -52.78938668868387,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -23.50723957898421
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 6678741.437976142,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.4176389922935,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.070575006733204
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 10440627.948380746,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 56.32627861611854,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.2853301535893378
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 16102451.980113212,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 54.228769186345424,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 44.98898818376284
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 31538756.32057698,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 95.8630670628787,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 67.77090390533371
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 35916080.44701383,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.879190675571863,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 50.95729503977972
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 137313581.13541377,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 282.317834870621,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 104.30256866991243
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 81073126.37931918,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -40.95767825080044,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 36.98639994261461
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 109072505.7288298,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.53595611757849,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 44.81341155535725
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 80544196.50505286,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.155362465681765,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.290723838137144
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 56044259.7483586,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -30.41800380385853,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.579817801988101
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 287970886.4656578,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 413.8276208101611,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.2115797594973
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 361250904.46692044,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.447023100372235,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 64.91426742069812
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 793649324.8259203,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 119.69476477770158,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 141.93526201010022
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 515311388.0087985,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -35.07064494487824,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.40606572357242
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 552599092.2043551,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.235955785809267,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.221557463449287
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 695017779.3045541,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.772515574008857,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.327067077439128
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 571776788.5386158,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.732063040064272,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.5266736748503336
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 569656053.5336148,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.37090260526688734,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.0184847442149092
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 586336414.5223647,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.928146007626986,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.5104782543146325
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 512167435.3658206,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.649560443378382,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.60337839125634
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 773838105.2323384,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 51.09084486787354,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.750526162914188
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 1887902774.4193907,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 143.96611664045204,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 47.665005502036294
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 1348629631.8269098,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -28.56466709512252,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.089369070109754
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 420660178.8627242,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -68.8083244698635,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.386795552588055
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "hs_code": "271012",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 690935970.1661613,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 88.99644166416147,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6563228293551262,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "hs_code": "271019",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1067284732.6850444,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 78.30939992202659,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2063121808818569,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "hs_code": "151110",
      "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, crude, not chemically modified",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 86761293.51977995,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 35.90517511909614,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.438756303722133,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "hs_code": "310210",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, urea, whether or not in aqueous solution",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 35292240.797933996,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 28.25340992595545,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5631110543318325,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "hs_code": "252310",
      "hs_description": "Cement clinkers (whether or not coloured)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 55554487.74413989,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 56.8765920665488,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7341977866423457,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "hs_code": "630900",
      "hs_description": "Clothing: worn, and other worn articles",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 69872267.9932039,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 46.80896112786451,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0800799022673067,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "hs_code": "820130",
      "hs_description": "Tools, hand: mattocks, picks, hoes and rakes",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20669474.31504686,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 81.91760223839927,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 3.2993675927564974,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "hs_code": "870899",
      "hs_description": "Vehicle parts and accessories: n.e.c. in heading no. 8708",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 32739362.89746924,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 10.993757820511293,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8351295326038446,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "hs_code": "340211",
      "hs_description": "Organic surface-active agents: anionic (other than soap), whether or not put up for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26415477.239065643,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2785304466794205,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "hs_code": "940690",
      "hs_description": "Buildings: prefabricated, not of wood",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38811381.47475,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6066101161392803,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
    "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
    "distance_km": 6178,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 16095.828897000001,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 500.4448240968734,
    "importer_population": 32163.044,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 17,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 106.9,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 358868.765175,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35918.90540545004,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.242294937777773,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.242294937777773,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-MOZ/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-MOZ/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-MOZ/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-MOZ/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-MOZ/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}