{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.313Z", "seo": { "title": "United Arab Emirates exports to Myanmar: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from United Arab Emirates to Myanmar, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ARE", "country_name": "United Arab Emirates" }, "importer": { "iso3": "MMR", "country_name": "Myanmar" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "all_history_lane_count": 68, "current_lane_count": 32, "current_product_count": 32, "first_observed_last_year": 2000, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 67281739.15393618, "attention_trade_usd": 58039867.307483055, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 25871716.403784763, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 22489849.049056936, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 53716063.50806125, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 67281739.15393618, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 10, "high_volatility_lane_count": 20, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 20, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 26, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0173303475308206, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 42.61390771115756, "product_concentration_hhi": 1392.5415584126767, "top1_product_share_pct": 23.639212060185358, "top3_product_share_pct": 58.52101117495484, "top_product_hs6": "271019", "top_product_trade_usd": 15904872.996379735, "top_product_description": "", "top_attention_product_hs6": "271019", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 4415.291015625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.881800151919193, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.881800151919193, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 7, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 65067.808984999996, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1187, "buyer_population_latest": 54806.015, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -0.26699315940599266, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -0.9569924159110843, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.6966663001618523, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 29.234, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 31.125999999999998, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted", "attention_trade_share_pct": 86.26392248079627, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 65067.808984999996, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1187, "buyer_population_2024": 54806.015 }, "history": [ { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 3872933.3425459885, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 5814308.609463923, "yoy_growth_pct": 50.126741030913614, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 5029828.43413547, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.49223489877297, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 5428893.11118897, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.93396200842964, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.915547297446993 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 4887449.788593155, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.973364947633566, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.624034037024939 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 5271827.394261962, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.864584237078143, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.578704640263151 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 6995745.722717984, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.70058367867647, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.819712677559298 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 5994429.769870002, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.313212522809515, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.042240132842492 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 6222686.301757746, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.807810595013361, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.6831075862897595 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 5197015.7640308, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.482761431139814, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.432299853478199 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 15885126.013182161, "yoy_growth_pct": 205.6586074478572, "cagr_3y_pct": 38.38242259132416 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 17598902.204579584, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.78855899522142, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.41730503028449 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 24032200.898379277, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.555113603197476, "cagr_3y_pct": 66.60185674604439 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 32844423.95986993, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.66839794970649, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.396352848059415 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 25287885.41741098, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.007066745002746, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.84326556169184 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 49739800.791787215, "yoy_growth_pct": 96.69418763476692, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.439335587748424 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 78391921.88039269, "yoy_growth_pct": 57.60401254629948, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.64002682838216 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 59015095.34794694, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.717886827688883, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.64275472006055 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 104091593.72259392, "yoy_growth_pct": 76.38130229033872, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.909815390585013 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 117096659.89189476, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.493867856380025, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.31180046095526 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 138719209.4447497, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.465556210413858, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.961068745430566 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 108808047.9861258, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.562378835886598, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.4880996281311454 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 82340217.3018397, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.325250911275454, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.07528120306782 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 166473184.3101286, "yoy_growth_pct": 102.17724675158122, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.268013087586399 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 235794838.45522377, "yoy_growth_pct": 41.64133366726108, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.40699675992997 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 146205136.0172504, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.99476825909657, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.092396274642077 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 141238139.92073885, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.397278804162873, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.332138330532265 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 134986172.6120087, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.426543221426371, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.966821471107785 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 84632043.2183295, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.30317588780909, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.65925106028271 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2228385044.7370386, "current_below_peak_pct": 33.98359406828933, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9123902970359856, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "hs_code": "310229", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, other than ammonium sulphate", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25261062.934849493, "current_below_peak_pct": 36.2348702620848, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7391303910405935, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "hs_code": "390210", "hs_description": "Propylene, other olefin polymers: polypropylene in primary forms", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 81273050.84288362, "current_below_peak_pct": 55.05995083542028, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3711077602457904, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "hs_code": "310590", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: n.e.s. in heading no. 3105", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 70639571.01168618, "current_below_peak_pct": 24.585117286527606, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2709642803074046, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "hs_code": "240319", "hs_description": "Tobacco: smoking, other than water pipe tobacco, whether or not containing tobacco substitutes in any proportion", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25567647.144731984, "current_below_peak_pct": 85.62356620281035, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9260851235986206, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "hs_code": "310520", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: containing the three fertilizing elements nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 74673819.3081904, "current_below_peak_pct": 24.257955995946514, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.34472344667141713, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "hs_code": "240220", "hs_description": "Cigarettes: containing tobacco", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 46366945.1164639, "current_below_peak_pct": 74.21782017599377, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2372626158915863, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "hs_code": "390110", "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of less than 0.94", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 36874697.52946804, "current_below_peak_pct": 62.52937801906017, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3571921771846194, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "hs_code": "721391", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, hot-rolled, in irregularly wound coils, n.e.s. in heading no. 7213, of circular cross-section measuring less than 14mm in diameter", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 40350019.290433414, "current_below_peak_pct": 74.38309146753261, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7972649639696615, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "hs_code": "721410", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, forged, hot-rolled, hot-drawn or hot-extruded, but including those twisted after rolling", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19019142.86812155, "current_below_peak_pct": 81.37186167268376, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2365477194837247, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "distance_km": 4330, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 65067.808984999996, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1187.2384625118248, "importer_population": 54806.015, "importer_biz_entry_days": 7, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 13.3, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 358868.765175, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35918.90540545004, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.881800151919193, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.881800151919193, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-MMR/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-MMR/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-MMR/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-MMR/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-MMR/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }