{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.340Z", "seo": { "title": "United Arab Emirates exports to Lithuania: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from United Arab Emirates to Lithuania, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ARE", "country_name": "United Arab Emirates" }, "importer": { "iso3": "LTU", "country_name": "Lithuania" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "all_history_lane_count": 102, "current_lane_count": 57, "current_product_count": 57, "first_observed_last_year": 1997, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 63253311.23169233, "attention_trade_usd": 27621392.418754514, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 53768139.14093419, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 9110945.803705955, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 22468288.190740652, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 4, "high_volatility_lane_count": 39, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 15, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 10, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.6350234961596593, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 14.340590427245038, "product_concentration_hhi": 1292.710945282866, "top1_product_share_pct": 29.79555238376554, "top3_product_share_pct": 51.47731228668305, "top_product_hs6": "381121", "top_product_trade_usd": 18846673.48250514, "top_product_description": "Lubricating oil additives: containing petroleum oils or oils obtained from bituminous minerals", "top_attention_product_hs6": "381121", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 4127.87255859375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.681487642203065, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.681487642203065, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 5.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 65503.849705, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 23433, "buyer_population_latest": 2795.321, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 9.014668841947326, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 8.425656534698645, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.5432407108000303, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.136, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 21.744, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 43.66789956272699, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 65503.849705, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 23433, "buyer_population_2024": 2795.321 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 3916218.441818974, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 8873508.704398073, "yoy_growth_pct": 126.58359936317996, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 9129972.090053383, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.89021394128115, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 4770255.133148176, "yoy_growth_pct": -47.751700814670464, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.796798322917019 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 1532652.7161278555, "yoy_growth_pct": -67.87063430889562, "cagr_3y_pct": -44.30928507093317 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 3521598.5430134037, "yoy_growth_pct": 129.771461333425, "cagr_3y_pct": -27.206913905909435 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 958385.2139547109, "yoy_growth_pct": -72.78550629071341, "cagr_3y_pct": -41.4312216096172 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 2536853.6544924877, "yoy_growth_pct": 164.70083402313094, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.290686370858044 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 1315892.9506340541, "yoy_growth_pct": -48.12893726432532, "cagr_3y_pct": -27.973291016558953 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 2344832.3862342862, "yoy_growth_pct": 78.19324779454473, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.74848768401766 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 4561560.984113358, "yoy_growth_pct": 94.53676138613282, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.601618949110946 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 8713913.782581042, "yoy_growth_pct": 91.02920717116724, "cagr_3y_pct": 87.78644170943053 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 15839553.003216421, "yoy_growth_pct": 81.77312053373083, "cagr_3y_pct": 89.03564605341603 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 20107661.231925186, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.945888105820103, "cagr_3y_pct": 63.96432222245214 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 7758683.345318493, "yoy_growth_pct": -61.41429251354238, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.796341148326865 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 6471164.698602083, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.594550768633766, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.7984158501407 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 14237753.180816457, "yoy_growth_pct": 120.01840231159827, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.869440363912219 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 12136723.33619855, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.756751419520143, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.083673108821195 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 10823908.18166077, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.816882927719263, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.704508847789093 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 8074544.844733838, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.400837579029446, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.22633272420746 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 3793586.535738771, "yoy_growth_pct": -53.017951987560984, "cagr_3y_pct": -32.13442791732 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 8233927.4574144855, "yoy_growth_pct": 117.04862614425622, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.713271001161305 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 9168655.924825137, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.352158155935022, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.326797167679897 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 12047084.902531639, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.394230531793, "cagr_3y_pct": 46.986458218268304 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 13932487.989856603, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.650284716834317, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.162758176197837 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 17368407.43384572, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.661205137880636, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.732781070310228 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 21644717.947086487, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.621201048678444, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.569133141918485 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 27559188.467129633, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.325237198756234, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.529533770224887 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 120787872.70462555, "yoy_growth_pct": 338.28530309842586, "cagr_3y_pct": 90.87737100729676 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 87199905.89301617, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.8073999148452, "cagr_3y_pct": 59.11875123546497 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "hs_code": "381121", "hs_description": "Lubricating oil additives: containing petroleum oils or oils obtained from bituminous minerals", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27412585.054333605, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.567175514827096, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "hs_code": "730890", "hs_description": "Iron or steel: structures and parts thereof, n.e.s. in heading no. 7308", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 198299005.17487833, "current_below_peak_pct": 29.23622221055437, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.990739575294985, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "hs_code": "330300", "hs_description": "Perfumes and toilet waters", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 71696562.57425423, "current_below_peak_pct": 60.32437043970727, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.3020381509238175, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "hs_code": "844399", "hs_description": "Printing machinery: parts and accessories, n.e.c. in item no. 8443.91", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 47474817.18694481, "current_below_peak_pct": 1.3863827881450095, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0528720982818445, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "hs_code": "730661", "hs_description": "Iron or steel (excluding cast iron): tubes, pipes and hollow profiles (not seamless), welded, of square or rectangular cross-section, n.e.c. in chapter 73", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 83965619.89923596, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9338623244507324, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "hs_code": "730900", "hs_description": "Reservoirs, tanks, vats and similar containers: for any material (excluding compressed or liquefied gas), of iron or steel, capacity exceeding 300l, whether or not lined or heat insulated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14274718.440589994, "current_below_peak_pct": 51.93810686386783, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.3507864566888556, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "hs_code": "240220", "hs_description": "Cigarettes: containing tobacco", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 63768969.21623054, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3462368361704697, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "hs_code": "630900", "hs_description": "Clothing: worn, and other worn articles", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 60217030.51288213, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8300021531679869, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "hs_code": "851762", "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 246311070.72571224, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.2298545093151603, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "hs_code": "851830", "hs_description": "Headphones and earphones, whether or not combined with a microphone, and sets consisting of a microphone and one or more loudspeakers", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 78455020.47605847, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.620266147455681, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "distance_km": 4090, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 65503.84970499999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 23433.3909075201, "importer_population": 2795.321, "importer_biz_entry_days": 5.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 358868.765175, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35918.90540545004, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.681487642203065, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.681487642203065, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-LTU/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-LTU/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-LTU/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-LTU/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-LTU/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }