{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.416Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "United Arab Emirates exports to Libya: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from United Arab Emirates to Libya, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "ARE",
    "country_name": "United Arab Emirates"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "LBY",
    "country_name": "Libya"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
    "importer_iso3": "LBY",
    "all_history_lane_count": 259,
    "current_lane_count": 236,
    "current_product_count": 236,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1999,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 2457305037.7443905,
    "attention_trade_usd": 2296640111.1993284,
    "critical_trade_usd": 150024812.776767,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 2315421745.429313,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 234240119.4459294,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 2114280134.8240762,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 2457305037.7443905,
    "critical_lane_count": 6,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 64,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 166,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 138,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 159,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.9978969750173017,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 10.212952362859225,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 1712.4571049130825,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 31.0453342424929,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 66.36379911044642,
    "top_product_hs6": "841191",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 762878562.3253623,
    "top_product_description": "Turbines: parts of turbo-jets and turbo-propellers",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "841191",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 4112.4794921875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.7644000053405762,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 17.119785731296965,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 17.209979007563636,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 17.209979007563636,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 35,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 41879.579677,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 6018,
    "buyer_population_latest": 6958.538,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -6.881549959886857,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -7.99269776368906,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.2076734963365698,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 10.702,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": -16.1,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 93.46174267837176,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 6.105258015279933,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 41879.579677,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 6018,
    "buyer_population_2024": 6958.538
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 104614712.36045454,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 186078877.8725287,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 77.87065860429443,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 216971561.9680196,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.60192948747983,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 258475856.09834734,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.128909684691877,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 35.18932689669061
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 257302559.65933472,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.45392883371133674,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.407819977843324
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 245187878.53567627,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.708340694199908,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.159461712933754
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 288226278.37546265,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.55323309489136,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.698195052414799
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 329221715.06025344,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.223351498640046,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.562904878146572
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 336049984.776468,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.0740641956028982,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.079767322168577
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 381002349.03340274,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.376689865597214,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.748356769465127
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 529597768.14897424,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 39.00118188052013,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.17075393540155
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 424647006.961345,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.81707014258166,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.11220600303837
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 215018672.79794824,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -49.365315362384955,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.361420912069114
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 2348019806.134375,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 992.007394325606,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 64.28019256579896
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 776084617.3620888,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -66.94727125663462,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.262611886232307
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 974788103.6217179,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.603327499908723,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 65.50508736575887
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 1124715098.5524697,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.380470316955508,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.756742504038407
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 898264608.9185448,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.13403126937401,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.9941425591123245
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 650381265.7077409,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.5958042596424,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.618545891752897
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 1388592532.6016521,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 113.50438670624902,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.278024309235498
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 1305407750.940737,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.990582529279553,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.269756261763499
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 813333266.5820181,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -37.695079104908594,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.737486103127789
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 1458079907.2677336,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 79.272134459128,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.6409775476597055
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 1515081563.4389997,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.9093643556257662,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.090455751720002
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 1904296813.9585729,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.6893925655141,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.78694162902536
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 2699939625.5212545,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 41.78144949519358,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.79789131699537
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "hs_code": "841191",
      "hs_description": "Turbines: parts of turbo-jets and turbo-propellers",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 764762026.4262835,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 3.161932981806903,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "hs_code": "240220",
      "hs_description": "Cigarettes: containing tobacco",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 736425226.9018031,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3160521561371012,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "hs_code": "710812",
      "hs_description": "Metals: gold, non-monetary, unwrought (but not powder)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 284466490.212888,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7851105465262946,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "hs_code": "852560",
      "hs_description": "Transmission apparatus for radio-broadcasting or television, whether or not incorporating sound recording or reproducing apparatus, incorporating reception apparatus",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 137007808.33800852,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 28.811900319799832,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.327201873115816,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "hs_code": "847130",
      "hs_description": "Data processing machines: portable, digital and automatic, weighing not more than 10kg, consisting of at least a central processing unit, a keyboard and a display",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 94808556.10532142,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 10.467731191596258,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.665399446877602,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "hs_code": "870324",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 3000cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 117700440.66007134,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 14.05865811323665,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8575496730887964,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "hs_code": "711319",
      "hs_description": "Jewellery: of precious metal (excluding silver) whether or not plated or clad with precious metal, and parts thereof",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 371768329.3077301,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5508139614022955,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "hs_code": "870323",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 627989978.9066768,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 50.28636248250964,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0084555066294039,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "hs_code": "851712",
      "hs_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 61532239.781836085,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 95.14379385216087,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2924899788566289,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "hs_code": "851762",
      "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 87323395.46801649,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6303534209095967,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
    "importer_iso3": "LBY",
    "distance_km": 4159,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 1,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 0,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 41879.579677,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6018.445207455935,
    "importer_population": 6958.538,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 35,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 24.6,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 358868.765175,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35918.90540545004,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 17.119785731296965,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 17.209979007563636,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 17.209979007563636
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-LBY/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-LBY/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-LBY/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-LBY/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-LBY/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}