{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.480Z", "seo": { "title": "United Arab Emirates exports to Liberia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from United Arab Emirates to Liberia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ARE", "country_name": "United Arab Emirates" }, "importer": { "iso3": "LBR", "country_name": "Liberia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "all_history_lane_count": 22, "current_lane_count": 15, "current_product_count": 15, "first_observed_last_year": 2012, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 62012971.395069085, "attention_trade_usd": 60116750.42276321, "critical_trade_usd": 16152586.472351316, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 58607468.74903323, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 16594755.158108683, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 61198923.049385354, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 3, "high_volatility_lane_count": 12, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 6, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 13, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 3.5762728481973864, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 16.196553644040556, "product_concentration_hhi": 4794.854675533032, "top1_product_share_pct": 63.92212330387071, "top3_product_share_pct": 94.92538139515617, "top_product_hs6": "271012", "top_product_trade_usd": 39640008.03955013, "top_product_description": "", "top_attention_product_hs6": "271012", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 7214.98291015625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 11.004519196363638, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.004519196363638, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 18, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 3486.74137, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 673, "buyer_population_latest": 5180.208, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 7.56124370446094, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.285811701082199, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.161195289863871, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 20.546, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": -56.306, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 96.94221881382602, "critical_trade_share_pct": 26.047109353053315, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 3486.74137, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 673, "buyer_population_2024": 5180.208 }, "history": [ { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 1823755.6895687995, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 1712281.3500536073, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.112350472861239, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 1907188.3879297115, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.382886221940236, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 1831503.531632442, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.968399596823613, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.1414095875127197 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 4426359.260009438, "yoy_growth_pct": 141.67899125284066, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.24309747247372 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 11108263.397995876, "yoy_growth_pct": 150.95711273043372, "cagr_3y_pct": 79.92196757430705 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 15107109.755732102, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.99884351371869, "cagr_3y_pct": 102.0495440168664 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 14876737.476029204, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.5249262329314006, "cagr_3y_pct": 49.79144595233094 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 16567460.316892026, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.364876496524001, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.253607948502168 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 17377847.6338229, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.8914396137385685, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.778344799270218 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 17158492.757398546, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.2622672326659035, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.871419259195187 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 24563689.398371316, "yoy_growth_pct": 43.1576173133257, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.02827454977771 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 32535906.409201067, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.455291554689445, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.25058094640775 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 43901492.90131413, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.932441559085945, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.772898647418174 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 29376023.6874423, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.08650402054331, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.145064228473163 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 47801474.64180694, "yoy_growth_pct": 62.7227535980003, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.682285134813487 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 35096240.640420094, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.57916747671819, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.1902142593709195 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 23967246.313556828, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.709932812707244, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.558089405174117 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 33636943.41373874, "yoy_growth_pct": 40.34546553106666, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.05427555544094 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 23272094.48632537, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.81388460278449, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.79829882720528 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 20719983.783258207, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.966398854072956, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.737108965495573 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 27905881.719686482, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.68100174013888, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.036379644848633 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 42914432.20658112, "yoy_growth_pct": 53.782749592558865, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.627902464595362 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 55337900.90940466, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.94939549245239, "cagr_3y_pct": 38.74300293031978 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 81033575.74700963, "yoy_growth_pct": 46.434133596198635, "cagr_3y_pct": 42.666854057947766 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 101983905.1183619, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.853887327840642, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.44718663044644 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "hs_code": "271012", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 140813832.11069816, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 4.429413329606862, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "hs_code": "730890", "hs_description": "Iron or steel: structures and parts thereof, n.e.s. in heading no. 7308", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 213831290.25527185, "current_below_peak_pct": 54.52338653969749, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.448975373394051, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2780444020.160649, "current_below_peak_pct": 25.5783182125925, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5731632553139852, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "hs_code": "020714", "hs_description": "Meat and edible offal: of fowls of the species Gallus domesticus, cuts and offal, frozen", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 35172941.39809093, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6768708437470279, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "hs_code": "848180", "hs_description": "Taps, cocks, valves and similar appliances: for pipes, boiler shells, tanks, vats or the like, including thermostatically controlled valves", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16488971.243608758, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9225401310620511, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "hs_code": "320890", "hs_description": "Paints and varnishes: based on polymers n.e.s. in heading no. 3208, dispersed or dissolved in a non-aqueous medium", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 40302019.2003347, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1489223090174938, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "hs_code": "854449", "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 80 volts, not fitted with connectors", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12845988.284454158, "current_below_peak_pct": 59.028252958732764, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6975694162045094, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "hs_code": "392490", "hs_description": "Plastics: household articles and hygienic or toilet articles", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13735374.176663747, "current_below_peak_pct": 44.04210929188131, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9595285023887387, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "hs_code": "732690", "hs_description": "Iron or steel: articles n.e.s. in heading no. 7326", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13125859.333485084, "current_below_peak_pct": 39.57830335669864, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.989028520470817, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14036896.075696124, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1737053663165837, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "distance_km": 7316, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 3486.74137, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 673.0890670799321, "importer_population": 5180.208, "importer_biz_entry_days": 18, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.3, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 358868.765175, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35918.90540545004, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 11.004519196363638, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.004519196363638, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-LBR/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-LBR/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-LBR/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-LBR/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-LBR/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }