{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.392Z", "seo": { "title": "United Arab Emirates exports to Indonesia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from United Arab Emirates to Indonesia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ARE", "country_name": "United Arab Emirates" }, "importer": { "iso3": "IDN", "country_name": "Indonesia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "all_history_lane_count": 382, "current_lane_count": 209, "current_product_count": 209, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 1551805445.5048752, "attention_trade_usd": 1086173380.7347538, "critical_trade_usd": 402610262.3347652, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 823302908.1898506, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 628895323.9043981, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1057245555.6539737, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 2, "high_attention_lane_count": 33, "high_volatility_lane_count": 152, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 88, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 115, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.241613889073933, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 34.769304627716636, "product_concentration_hhi": 1073.3416048798567, "top1_product_share_pct": 22.512731486523368, "top3_product_share_pct": 48.45932170300407, "top_product_hs6": "271019", "top_product_trade_usd": 349353793.13976026, "top_product_description": "", "top_attention_product_hs6": "271019", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 6613.25390625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 17.946165427272728, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 17.946165427272728, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 12.6, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1186092.99132, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 4292, "buyer_population_latest": 276361.786, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.5254352248609075, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.701487543021109, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7945379582891654, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 30.339999999999996, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 32.702, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 69.99417252214698, "critical_trade_share_pct": 25.94463523124042, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1186092.99132, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 4292, "buyer_population_2024": 276361.786 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 50659201.94100714, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 36402980.181221604, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.141425868467028, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 91275170.99558699, "yoy_growth_pct": 150.73543578355455, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 29292761.38779364, "yoy_growth_pct": -67.90719637303128, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.689324334245715 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 73629441.34788209, "yoy_growth_pct": 151.35711984655583, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.46534177198605 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 169844370.6705862, "yoy_growth_pct": 130.67453393827995, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.998410932561764 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 149575872.45644072, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.933570794322234, "cagr_3y_pct": 72.200236502839 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 143027560.03655615, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.377920257019763, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.77361030760632 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 104902347.12829317, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.655850731508412, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.838229310985373 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 443454225.89845335, "yoy_growth_pct": 322.7305089333406, "cagr_3y_pct": 43.65775802282626 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 341003091.24814767, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.1029785414123, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.59171607372558 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 439551552.4975165, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.899580026872897, "cagr_3y_pct": 61.21602332346192 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 179955642.68159726, "yoy_growth_pct": -59.05926354733692, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.964691508197824 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 511550654.50581694, "yoy_growth_pct": 184.2648593192068, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.474856968493954 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 418617106.6774742, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.16702745070693, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.6134532117030864 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 429742761.52615654, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.6577162450396763, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.66397338810179 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 653456073.4313395, "yoy_growth_pct": 52.0574939088454, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.50320950101018 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 1363942763.2833393, "yoy_growth_pct": 108.72753636234323, "cagr_3y_pct": 48.24943881891108 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 2685131021.704658, "yoy_growth_pct": 96.86537397221127, "cagr_3y_pct": 84.18417109949652 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 1776141893.8100731, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.85269175123947, "cagr_3y_pct": 39.55768384071008 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 2495538842.404197, "yoy_growth_pct": 40.503348921685344, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.30833741530349 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 2582027123.7777586, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.4657156965042013, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.2966773224600159 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 3259017878.1640906, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.219350995656022, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.424882238625578 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 2674399285.4588156, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.9384898936059, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.334162078671631 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 1758986007.130286, "yoy_growth_pct": -34.228743752131344, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.009889825201848 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 2212980280.6579394, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.809999152200568, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.10511537874991 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 2047970548.9130368, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.456448355511047, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.511644804491247 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 2235174973.7719803, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.140972508530588, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.313614103389867 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 2218020230.0325875, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.7674899701674454, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.07585740334947744 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 1575790244.0544758, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.955100466720086, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.365664788184091 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 7579766729.129358, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6049823139427737, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "hs_code": "271012", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12942143525.337969, "current_below_peak_pct": 64.71032023563203, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8969349316180747, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "hs_code": "710812", "hs_description": "Metals: gold, non-monetary, unwrought (but not powder)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 4400834869.423081, "current_below_peak_pct": 8.367105239051183, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1377823978042954, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "hs_code": "271112", "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, propane", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1614196611.0690546, "current_below_peak_pct": 71.72166645582672, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4737286607612689, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "hs_code": "271113", "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, butanes", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1214288895.8765635, "current_below_peak_pct": 79.95667191176896, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7150388350208371, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "hs_code": "760120", "hs_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, alloys", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 382072043.5326539, "current_below_peak_pct": 32.83934427361371, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6131680360342641, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "hs_code": "270900", "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 9304630559.974403, "current_below_peak_pct": 91.26263678535656, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.5839564389185683, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "hs_code": "250300", "hs_description": "Sulphur of all kinds: other than sublimed, precipitated and colloidal sulphur", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 287918539.15393174, "current_below_peak_pct": 4.565540799346596, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2966925461491408, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "hs_code": "760110", "hs_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, (not alloyed)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 204604262.1148965, "current_below_peak_pct": 33.461736066482175, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6619513681558511, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "hs_code": "390120", "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of 0.94 or more", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 580417119.593394, "current_below_peak_pct": 10.568850333407912, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7658909203916353, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ARE", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "distance_km": 6572, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1186092.99132, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4291.8125855504495, "importer_population": 276361.786, "importer_biz_entry_days": 12.6, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 5.7, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 358868.765175, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35918.90540545004, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 17.946165427272728, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 17.946165427272728, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-IDN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-IDN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-IDN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-IDN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-IDN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }