{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:00.479Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "United Arab Emirates exports to Croatia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from United Arab Emirates to Croatia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "ARE",
    "country_name": "United Arab Emirates"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "HRV",
    "country_name": "Croatia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
    "importer_iso3": "HRV",
    "all_history_lane_count": 85,
    "current_lane_count": 33,
    "current_product_count": 33,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2002,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 33260273.28209012,
    "attention_trade_usd": 5487422.5552081475,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 14725375.713231178,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 2974418.433827171,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 15819931.231548525,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 4,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 21,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 9,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 6,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1603379245837517,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 13.885073144824245,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 1706.5536203388526,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 31.82482931307468,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 64.90240430270103,
    "top_product_hs6": "760120",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 10585025.201087363,
    "top_product_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, alloys",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "851712",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 4168.2431640625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.376528280076629,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.376528280076629,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 19.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 67837.788544,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 17399,
    "buyer_population_latest": 3899,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.630920182413139,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 9.094435516675814,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.42487532207068357,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.842,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.32,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 16.498428947554668,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 67837.788544,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 17399,
    "buyer_population_2024": 3899
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 1339728.333878364,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 865106.654553402,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -35.42671057429868,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 572794.750741397,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.78911747741745,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 344155.37346678524,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.91645820403772,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -36.43091834472369
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 403989.7904128924,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.385873230272786,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -22.416938660661444
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 417446.8251834698,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.331033380032644,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.008661575375477
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 465184.9322516413,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.435733652349711,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.566533763533915
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 1262223.6384401862,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 171.33803159329065,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 46.191449819666495
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 3179715.967560108,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 151.9138345000015,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 96.75648486424033
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 4633818.548660904,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 45.73058084230628,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 115.16475244619149
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 1687803.4011278693,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -63.57640284349036,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.169619503339188
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 4083333.670047279,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 141.93183088259,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.694819914069951
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 11241145.221969925,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 175.29332967393208,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.36634742224156
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 4068655.0444120853,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -63.80568915291458,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.0838086332226
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 2927161.4158507055,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -28.05579770467673,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.502562505638412
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 9198074.080734752,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 214.23187088101065,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.467592121340015
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 9944032.68100195,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.109943382926211,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.70091863465736
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 7289971.227208336,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.68999126344579,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 35.54797922979316
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 12123017.738234507,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 66.2971959750377,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.640568613609158
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 10939940.068151232,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.75893705370069,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.232742877215844
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 11432682.068831496,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.504064899905202,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.182514283037406
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 7195872.705053989,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -37.05875260301488,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.959058233166513
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 6403311.733242139,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.014104950122283,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.35052220392188
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 10023282.374240445,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 56.53278790419647,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.290742654329993
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 8865889.426830886,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.547045211297513,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.204482856574246
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 7531222.345690653,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.053955862579604,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.556976345799702
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 50021667.502733275,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 564.1905550877216,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 70.88977051360939
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 35495372.03730228,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.040006442482657,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 58.787559550775995
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 29232636.062994145,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.643809924647613,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 57.15715928969873
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 36577466.82645229,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.125447967232883,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.908222966486191
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "hs_code": "760120",
      "hs_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, alloys",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 333937617.85945296,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 22.082632319953735,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6911167265739301,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "hs_code": "853710",
      "hs_description": "Boards, panels, consoles, desks and other bases: for electric control or the distribution of electricity, (other than switching apparatus of heading no. 8517), for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 121392437.93522587,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.1292783947332796,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "hs_code": "853720",
      "hs_description": "Boards, panels, consoles, desks and other bases: for electric control or the distribution of electricity, (other than switching apparatus of heading no. 8517), for a voltage exceeding 1000 volts",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23855227.156136297,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "hs_code": "851712",
      "hs_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 515833157.2429577,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.622929714997143,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "hs_code": "390311",
      "hs_description": "Styrene polymers: expansible polystyrene, in primary forms",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23129844.48743101,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 24.14112395862424,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4315657165225042,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "hs_code": "854430",
      "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: ignition wiring sets and other wiring sets of a kind used in vehicles, aircraft or ships",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21772836.109696846,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9270305720612153,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "hs_code": "760110",
      "hs_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, (not alloyed)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 83459495.18908682,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.864271565250281,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "hs_code": "760511",
      "hs_description": "Aluminium: (not alloyed), wire, maximum cross-sectional dimension exceeds 7mm",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 30785478.71517502,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 63.3378677456305,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0728814976238379,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "hs_code": "730890",
      "hs_description": "Iron or steel: structures and parts thereof, n.e.s. in heading no. 7308",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 198544557.55044597,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 57.897533438767255,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.750371926436345,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "hs_code": "390110",
      "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of less than 0.94",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 76242791.65216172,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7530906660216181,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
    "importer_iso3": "HRV",
    "distance_km": 4171,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 67837.78854400001,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17398.76597691716,
    "importer_population": 3899,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 19.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 358868.765175,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35918.90540545004,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.376528280076629,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.376528280076629,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-HRV/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-HRV/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-HRV/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-HRV/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-HRV/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}