{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.394Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "United Arab Emirates exports to Hong Kong: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from United Arab Emirates to Hong Kong, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "ARE",
    "country_name": "United Arab Emirates"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "HKG",
    "country_name": "Hong Kong"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
    "importer_iso3": "HKG",
    "all_history_lane_count": 358,
    "current_lane_count": 262,
    "current_product_count": 262,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 17574922653.73763,
    "attention_trade_usd": 1248540168.7788336,
    "critical_trade_usd": 374476561.2304933,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 15686849288.447908,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 692125960.7548037,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 2175508.2746024737,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1186762019.8908713,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 6,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 44,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 201,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 154,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 8,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 151,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.9247249436234553,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 7.43534460252639,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 5916.159530776994,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 76.27444722936066,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 89.8588038524615,
    "top_product_hs6": "710812",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 13405175105.12606,
    "top_product_description": "Metals: gold, non-monetary, unwrought (but not powder)",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "851712",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 6059.646484375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 1.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 368139.247671,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 49661,
    "buyer_population_latest": 7413.1,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.303516880397938,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.259425330431597,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.04311734573498871,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.188,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.356,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 7.10410050375561,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 2.130743722794444,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "declining_buyer_demand",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 368139.247671,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 49661,
    "buyer_population_2024": 7413.1
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 366323554.8561015,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 243129320.3496606,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.629897087790006,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 261123216.93562347,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.40095705449455,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 202687179.45284107,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.378721497288012,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.904287187495726
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 230125082.43783787,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.537068826487243,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.8156640932418866
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 416546963.7668165,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 81.00893625071726,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.84393162854956
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 469673060.0750271,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.753927150925204,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.32943463524365
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 1020428097.3170067,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 117.2634932806238,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 64.28811642075493
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 1118431200.3765125,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.604116479856216,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.98942776560021
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 1232878034.1200633,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.232800524969532,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 37.945696048691225
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 1204172495.3867311,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.3283356454493087,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.674150423145852
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 1256648564.514496,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.357853158812741,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.9604590535881723
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 1307207364.277115,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.02330462074354,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.970556698904069
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 1504830134.9572794,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.117935844054053,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.712537905513495
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 1610853218.2700295,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.045518351196489,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.629398940784426
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 1973548897.588723,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.515749740886328,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.718766444663501
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 3278545474.9460855,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 66.12435997667978,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.63767815684779
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 4730272625.027681,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 44.279610003136206,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 43.200126244945004
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 5396204736.434601,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.078091564606643,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 39.83423447946808
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 4433188178.211,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.846182738794447,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.580441149473296
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 4422325607.779187,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.24502840834058626,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.2189158886247284
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 3886003497.3096547,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.127603393248643,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.366245233940996
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 4725926676.214447,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.614061322546043,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.154367127516088
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 5144848416.124943,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.864330079832294,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.173733093970245
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 4807621646.841986,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.554649272581548,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.351726050664875
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 7214645967.472327,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 50.0668417243578,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.144363068074117
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 9958820651.094494,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 38.036165544289304,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.626895257144344
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 9608335578.377562,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.5193431531314268,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.96192630811074
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 13858795607.83433,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 44.237214601683284,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.3092620770317
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 17638465705.65789,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.272716942927744,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.99041450848236
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "710812",
      "hs_description": "Metals: gold, non-monetary, unwrought (but not powder)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 41743878490.216095,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.1578741947470417,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "710239",
      "hs_description": "Diamonds: non-industrial, (other than unworked or simply sawn, cleaved or bruted), but not mounted or set",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 6509846111.260275,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 21.941394610067903,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.910660706678412,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "711319",
      "hs_description": "Jewellery: of precious metal (excluding silver) whether or not plated or clad with precious metal, and parts thereof",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17035963921.793066,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 30.58405104042604,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1314276379163188,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "851712",
      "hs_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 30349684361.136154,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 84.56349865789635,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.143178114226683,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "852580",
      "hs_description": "Television cameras, digital cameras and video camera recorders",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1660404334.7922027,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 25.197149963929593,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8805020320304336,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "880310",
      "hs_description": "Aircraft and spacecraft: propellers and rotors and parts thereof",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 137551184.515348,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 3.3917543395937306,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "841112",
      "hs_description": "Turbo-jets: of a thrust exceeding 25kN",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 7929497484.071489,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 69.19002037823154,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6846948868167796,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "854449",
      "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 80 volts, not fitted with connectors",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 590267785.1059318,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 4.08167641142843,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5873802354364432,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "710231",
      "hs_description": "Diamonds: non-industrial, unworked or simply sawn, cleaved or bruted, but not mounted or set",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1286676220.7118628,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 79.90854790140406,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.614568973217092,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "710391",
      "hs_description": "Stones: rubies, sapphires and emeralds, worked (other than simply sawn or roughly shaped), not strung, mounted or set",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1531353210.853633,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 20.72235524942397,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.243519152728932,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
    "importer_iso3": "HKG",
    "distance_km": 5962,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 368139.247671,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 49660.63423817296,
    "importer_population": 7413.1,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 1.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.5,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 358868.765175,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35918.90540545004,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-HKG/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-HKG/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-HKG/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-HKG/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-HKG/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}