{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:00.476Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "United Arab Emirates exports to Equatorial Guinea: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from United Arab Emirates to Equatorial Guinea, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "ARE",
    "country_name": "United Arab Emirates"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "GNQ",
    "country_name": "Equatorial Guinea"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
    "importer_iso3": "GNQ",
    "all_history_lane_count": 4,
    "current_lane_count": 4,
    "current_product_count": 4,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2024,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 7486441.751999997,
    "attention_trade_usd": 5744404.582999997,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 5831163.752999997,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 86759.17,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 6048999.008999997,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 7486441.751999997,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 2,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0204508676117439,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 6.848990108276478,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 6266.084535133093,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 76.73077241889158,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 98.84111607524598,
    "top_product_hs6": "870323",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 5744404.582999997,
    "top_product_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "870323",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 5400.13525390625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 33,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 12269.392789000001,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 8462,
    "buyer_population_latest": 1449.891,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.3533801629845197,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -0.17328561408652687,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.531051725596578,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 29.346000000000004,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 46.42999999999999,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 76.73077241889158,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 12269.392789000001,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 8462,
    "buyer_population_2024": 1449.891
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "GNQ",
      "export_value_usd": 7032471.320011352,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "GNQ",
      "export_value_usd": 11488751.955338344,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 63.36720666952962,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "GNQ",
      "export_value_usd": 5563614.046861349,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -51.57338178690358,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "GNQ",
      "export_value_usd": 7673052.000000002,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 37.914886535464646,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.948508078589396
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "GNQ",
      "export_value_usd": 10439225,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 36.05049203367836,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.1428241660453438
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "GNQ",
      "export_value_usd": 15071283.729198614,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 44.37167250632699,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 39.40052743892186
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "GNQ",
      "export_value_usd": 15618172.793000454,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.628682689732088,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.732312817723635
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "GNQ",
      "export_value_usd": 19185022.999999996,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.837820110417063,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.489263124196036
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "GNQ",
      "export_value_usd": 21593008.87793786,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.551383847378572,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.733841400574718
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "GNQ",
      "export_value_usd": 26992446.398245335,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.005489280487538,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.006289547448407
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "GNQ",
      "export_value_usd": 27478225.837999985,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.7996865959738484,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.722026572604172
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "GNQ",
      "export_value_usd": 27768017.397,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.0546225244253637,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.74531855421381
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "GNQ",
      "export_value_usd": 21811878.19599999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.44963796242615,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.856989224159394
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "GNQ",
      "export_value_usd": 22239608.44600001,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.9609968759061625,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.807817507521197
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "GNQ",
      "export_value_usd": 17010621.97399998,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.512043769549862,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.070524852956058
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "GNQ",
      "export_value_usd": 21411823.970999986,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.873257331372468,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.6151468873776045
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "GNQ",
      "export_value_usd": 51726653.131,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 141.5798542013898,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.493858388580165
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "GNQ",
      "export_value_usd": 29053747.083000004,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -43.832153591263435,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.534697290784585
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "GNQ",
      "export_value_usd": 25978080.684000008,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.58612643048592,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.65579706846311
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "GNQ",
      "export_value_usd": 24170779.876661807,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.957022073040687,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -22.400528873791348
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "GNQ",
      "export_value_usd": 30926884.183000017,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.951536279810284,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.10445043283376
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "GNQ",
      "export_value_usd": 36536248.59099997,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.137502552175388,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.0397929058498
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "GNQ",
      "hs_code": "870323",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13232957.860999998,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1102578704290895,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "GNQ",
      "hs_code": "271019",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10804819.89999997,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 29.835181621483965,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6018136115518803,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "GNQ",
      "hs_code": "220210",
      "hs_description": "Waters: including mineral and aerated, containing added sugar or other sweetening matter or flavoured",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21227799.3329441,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9916459941864397,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "GNQ",
      "hs_code": "843143",
      "hs_description": "Boring or sinking machinery: parts of the machinery of item no. 8430.41 or 8430.41",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10098850.677395443,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 96.68373035088881,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.0826330447796098,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
    "importer_iso3": "GNQ",
    "distance_km": 5526,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 0,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 12269.392789000001,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 8462.286329799965,
    "importer_population": 1449.891,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 33,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 59.1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 358868.765175,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35918.90540545004,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-GNQ/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-GNQ/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-GNQ/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-GNQ/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-GNQ/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}