{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.477Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "United Arab Emirates exports to Botswana: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from United Arab Emirates to Botswana, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "ARE",
    "country_name": "United Arab Emirates"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "BWA",
    "country_name": "Botswana"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
    "importer_iso3": "BWA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 22,
    "current_lane_count": 14,
    "current_product_count": 14,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2009,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 42867240.70999601,
    "attention_trade_usd": 41266902.131417856,
    "critical_trade_usd": 19033423.942141026,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 36958584.51630965,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 42643970.82215144,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 26329775.56855851,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 1,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 2,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 11,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 11,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 12,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.5949763028070456,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 72.55354694071244,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 3627.5797756070915,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 44.40086095325168,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 96.26675626405556,
    "top_product_hs6": "710231",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 19033423.942141026,
    "top_product_description": "Diamonds: non-industrial, unworked or simply sawn, cleaved or bruted, but not mounted or set",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "710231",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 6280.03173828125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 48,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 17613.846473,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 7348,
    "buyer_population_latest": 2397.24,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.0129069649398543,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4194113162523392,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.571193944045457,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 32.758,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 32.414,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 96.26675626405556,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 44.40086095325168,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Critical attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 17613.846473,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 7348,
    "buyer_population_2024": 2397.24
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 278307.61959094385,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 131435.8465923635,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -52.77317711044069,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 1664126.9044256408,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1166.11342915208,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 5948310.601223507,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 257.44332871515684,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 177.51694992614136
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 7207468.848708397,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.168333866524947,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 279.91780643891207
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 5062143.379473112,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.76531032277351,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 44.893643482930656
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 4002640.0036384854,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.929936124110803,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.370372706769505
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 5567042.479341622,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 39.084266241307276,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.248342110229224
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 8609203.386812016,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 54.64590792614483,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.36477268551009
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 6065088.765041938,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.55110371381483,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.85860657445115
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 6101261.891361848,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.5964154478398598,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.1015142883240365
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 8496553.62692902,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 39.25895623261837,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.4380765225324046
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 27077400.132873643,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 218.68686201255053,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 64.66069107773637
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 19544837.6828594,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.818632560920232,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 47.41357104974766
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 12911839.454589976,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.937341081560824,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.96926939410197
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 34097375.17895541,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 164.07837007944119,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.986963284989468
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 22784023.381756127,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.17953871177094,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.24450985841689
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 122967067.89883909,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 439.707433750716,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 111.966339558274
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 42642626.87886764,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -65.32191292554172,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.73934577029074
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 34318162.62921268,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.521462111848255,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.629888536153079
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 268011943.00596285,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 680.9623898041174,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.654753320602744
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 375232911.91628546,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 40.00604141283999,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 106.45195086831873
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 118552630.28568798,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -68.40558849695543,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 51.16887764491806
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 63308937.448762126,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -46.598453955681684,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -38.18361191372068
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 49772936.83493671,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.380868419692746,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -49.00071182846766
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "hs_code": "710231",
      "hs_description": "Diamonds: non-industrial, unworked or simply sawn, cleaved or bruted, but not mounted or set",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 889616150.6362275,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 94.55530870834332,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6297249085504164,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "hs_code": "710239",
      "hs_description": "Diamonds: non-industrial, (other than unworked or simply sawn, cleaved or bruted), but not mounted or set",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 347017602.32931495,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 55.39784402231314,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8497830936643542,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "hs_code": "851712",
      "hs_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 32777961.877563186,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 52.46702758366094,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8139794345637373,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "hs_code": "870324",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 3000cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10167875.858818613,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 58.619455382550086,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7801675742775591,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "hs_code": "847130",
      "hs_description": "Data processing machines: portable, digital and automatic, weighing not more than 10kg, consisting of at least a central processing unit, a keyboard and a display",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27287674.837958988,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 63.96952838603289,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3282434734169788,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 76671195.62262942,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 68.35239239221816,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.187181463367555,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "hs_code": "901890",
      "hs_description": "Medical, surgical or dental instruments and appliances: n.e.c. in heading no. 9018",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13787780.260449572,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 40.71439401539082,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.274744372291085,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "hs_code": "851762",
      "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23437642.389256265,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 70.97741985035526,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0298041732325347,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "hs_code": "870899",
      "hs_description": "Vehicle parts and accessories: n.e.c. in heading no. 8708",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 33771545.76204265,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 62.285054313554234,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5420973978404654,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "hs_code": "851770",
      "hs_description": "Telephone sets and other apparatus for the transmission or reception of voice, images or other data, via a wired or wireless network: parts",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10159089.51006138,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 79.7823197089974,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1615834142303714,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "ARE",
    "importer_iso3": "BWA",
    "distance_km": 6367,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 17613.846473,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7347.552382323007,
    "importer_population": 2397.24,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 48,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.6,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 358868.765175,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35918.90540545004,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-BWA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-BWA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-BWA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-BWA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ARE-BWA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}