{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:00.455Z", "seo": { "title": "Albania exports to Serbia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Albania to Serbia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ALB", "country_name": "Albania" }, "importer": { "iso3": "SRB", "country_name": "Serbia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "all_history_lane_count": 160, "current_lane_count": 144, "current_product_count": 144, "first_observed_last_year": 2008, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 184487302.97693497, "attention_trade_usd": 9752510.405086301, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 42256305.24076648, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 9698437.868381511, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 31844.76389934177, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 107879112.39267997, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 3, "high_volatility_lane_count": 99, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 48, "declining_demand_lane_count": 1, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 33, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8805777403975941, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 16.890234270661978, "product_concentration_hhi": 1422.806740999202, "top1_product_share_pct": 33.35152280016299, "top3_product_share_pct": 53.33563092535706, "top_product_hs6": "721420", "top_product_trade_usd": 61529324.91575824, "top_product_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, hot-rolled, hot-drawn or hot-extruded, containing indentations, ribs, grooves or other deformations produced during the rolling process or twisted after rolling", "top_attention_product_hs6": "070700", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": null, "shares_land_border": null, "shares_official_language": null, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": null, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.5208027791925922, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.247825097777777, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.013504586120666665, "tariff_advantage_pp": 6.23432051165711, "buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null, "buyer_population_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 10.836286255256834, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 12.018236663180426, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -1.0551410583952703, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 5.2862772926468455, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null, "buyer_population_2024": null }, "history": [ { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 17644262.705022667, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 30677901.125838906, "yoy_growth_pct": 73.86898868325082, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 40912117.77000754, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.3602243588585, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 11899528.745601287, "yoy_growth_pct": -70.91441510680055, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.30488222183126 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 47525307.757667445, "yoy_growth_pct": 299.3881503520497, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.708811162966164 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 77023190.46417762, "yoy_growth_pct": 62.06773632465572, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.47807427317241 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 76957327.78976187, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.08551018728104598, "cagr_3y_pct": 86.3116758307277 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 82554921.8296585, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.273633584560746, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.209653192929267 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 95864624.29753308, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.122239804596326, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.566975315671232 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 84065046.79706699, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.308583679255847, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.988443203629587 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 87447943.00575061, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.024141230599598, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.9378671478134546 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 120057140.38652204, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.28983925742775, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.789520523709559 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 212792320.43347067, "yoy_growth_pct": 77.24253613603422, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.284614628213596 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 197760240.3075954, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.0642023618399445, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.259212486230204 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 166712025.43258372, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.69992776440776, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.56457389283072 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 241692265.1950065, "yoy_growth_pct": 44.975903548567864, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.336340584761911 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 249414038.2991013, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.194878039586646, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.04233735273634 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 244397872.08026874, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.0111803862527977, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.59960748733251 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 221139733.63401112, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.516506116967683, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.918902651056643 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "721420", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, hot-rolled, hot-drawn or hot-extruded, containing indentations, ribs, grooves or other deformations produced during the rolling process or twisted after rolling", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 186527852.80391318, "current_below_peak_pct": 14.808415566448673, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7175533777338895, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "252329", "hs_description": "Cement: portland, other than white, whether or not artificially coloured", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 83782917.5844419, "current_below_peak_pct": 12.111013651977041, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5342913266357807, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "271600", "hs_description": "Electrical energy", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 960976114.140339, "current_below_peak_pct": 8.49471392327632, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8232584729530973, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "070200", "hs_description": "Vegetables: tomatoes, fresh or chilled", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 47605665.43766595, "current_below_peak_pct": 28.912112231374493, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8296402350642319, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "271320", "hs_description": "Petroleum bitumen: obtained from bituminous minerals", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 56257303.90134479, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8032176417619605, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "070700", "hs_description": "Vegetables: cucumbers and gherkins, fresh or chilled", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13177331.302373735, "current_below_peak_pct": 17.90993757702967, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0082732349386043, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "070960", "hs_description": "Vegetables: fruits of the genus capsicum or of the genus pimenta", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23174025.6862625, "current_below_peak_pct": 19.456111488317774, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1237480473070132, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "321490", "hs_description": "Mastics: n.e.s. in heading no. 3214", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24177121.24693772, "current_below_peak_pct": 12.602364565496227, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9757404276502817, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "481940", "hs_description": "Paper and paperboard: sacks and bags, including cones, of paper, paperboard, cellulose wadding or fibres, having a base width less than 40cm", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14882060.272358065, "current_below_peak_pct": 9.072549127547353, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4099352626019028, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "730890", "hs_description": "Iron or steel: structures and parts thereof, n.e.s. in heading no. 7308", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 174672614.08059958, "current_below_peak_pct": 6.238378512755563, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2919622576941623, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "distance_km": 391, "shares_land_border": 1, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 0, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494, "importer_population": 6844.078, "importer_biz_entry_days": 7, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 2.3, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 18260.0435, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6494.385712954525, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.5208027791925922, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.247825097777777, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.013504586120666665, "tariff_advantage_pp": 6.23432051165711 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ALB-SRB/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ALB-SRB/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ALB-SRB/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ALB-SRB/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ALB-SRB/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }