{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:05.805Z", "seo": { "title": "Albania exports to Lithuania: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Albania to Lithuania, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ALB", "country_name": "Albania" }, "importer": { "iso3": "LTU", "country_name": "Lithuania" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "all_history_lane_count": 9, "current_lane_count": 4, "current_product_count": 4, "first_observed_last_year": 2017, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 1185559.2129185698, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 257583.31355189695, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 20335.61527647712, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8367302619188927, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 4.971448421631816, "product_concentration_hhi": 6042.652749544921, "top1_product_share_pct": 74.59081562825953, "top3_product_share_pct": 98.2847237780376, "top_product_hs6": "080711", "top_product_trade_usd": 884318.2866719352, "top_product_description": "Fruit, edible: watermelons, fresh", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 1540.066162109375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.681487642203065, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.681487642203065, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 5.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 65503.849705, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 23433, "buyer_population_latest": 2795.321, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 9.014668841947326, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 8.425656534698645, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.5432407108000303, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.136, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 21.744, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 65503.849705, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 23433, "buyer_population_2024": 2795.321 }, "history": [ { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 45186.88047428133, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 9101.503308071018, "yoy_growth_pct": -79.85808444278146, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 4247.922581279259, "yoy_growth_pct": -53.32724235223545, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 6058.67742056887, "yoy_growth_pct": 42.626832402023275, "cagr_3y_pct": -48.817461325650434 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 15742.049969828799, "yoy_growth_pct": 159.82650795015795, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.0372539841553 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 379.1063809000981, "yoy_growth_pct": -97.59175976682394, "cagr_3y_pct": -55.31159711450875 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 11491.165544189913, "yoy_growth_pct": 2931.1190006633146, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.783307726073353 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 8445.082792558012, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.5080399365758, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.745477654384267 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 2567.3278820082464, "yoy_growth_pct": -69.59973104975796, "cagr_3y_pct": 89.19373357188417 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 51736.28009719017, "yoy_growth_pct": 1915.1800811947862, "cagr_3y_pct": 65.12406544709937 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 154795.99719629085, "yoy_growth_pct": 199.20202400616338, "cagr_3y_pct": 163.6646689275576 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 303328.3658941205, "yoy_growth_pct": 95.95362372935358, "cagr_3y_pct": 390.69379102100356 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 437469.73524726846, "yoy_growth_pct": 44.22315366310687, "cagr_3y_pct": 103.72810147000489 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 320794.0220372443, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.670579427414843, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.493735761164963 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 105949.05215201528, "yoy_growth_pct": -66.97287203820945, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.574811715370487 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 575877.5587580218, "yoy_growth_pct": 443.5419638599078, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.595834332734764 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 537979.2182595911, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.580971930936997, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.808198573967605 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 1173762.3595973775, "yoy_growth_pct": 118.17987010624674, "cagr_3y_pct": 122.92615950167503 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 831631.2737309458, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.148241385401818, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.031689541116599 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 907328.9717082682, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.102314976410142, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.032738801902504 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 1247043.5071791024, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.44116478847124, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.0392228737150075 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 1855710.5611768868, "yoy_growth_pct": 48.80880662893878, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.67519059985353 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 2114200.046564471, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.929407462317345, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.57463289164515 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 1957663.6946392136, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.40404637582075, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.22123705921186 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 2487393.4410902876, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.059282342603797, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.258331238514383 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "hs_code": "080711", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: watermelons, fresh", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12696717.163402025, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7990568232953491, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "hs_code": "080522", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: clementines, fresh or dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10554381.101387706, "current_below_peak_pct": 22.881709209116107, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1078850795129356, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "hs_code": "080510", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: oranges, fresh or dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14444168.22517851, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "hs_code": "940140", "hs_description": "Seats: convertible into beds, other than garden seats or camping equipment", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19693677.356662363, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ALB", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "distance_km": 1539, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 65503.84970499999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 23433.3909075201, "importer_population": 2795.321, "importer_biz_entry_days": 5.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 18260.0435, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6494.385712954525, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.681487642203065, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.681487642203065, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ALB-LTU/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ALB-LTU/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ALB-LTU/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ALB-LTU/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ALB-LTU/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }