{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:07.821Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Afghanistan exports to Lebanon: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Afghanistan to Lebanon, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "AFG",
    "country_name": "Afghanistan"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "LBN",
    "country_name": "Lebanon"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "AFG",
    "importer_iso3": "LBN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 4,
    "current_lane_count": 1,
    "current_product_count": 1,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2001,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 259100.65695891448,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 259100.65695891448,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 259100.65695891448,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 259100.65695891448,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9305201434631503,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 88.34444266271822,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 10000,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "080252",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 259100.65695891448,
    "top_product_description": "Nuts, edible: pistachios, fresh or dried, shelled",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 3088.869140625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.063669905454544,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.063669905454544,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 15,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 18076.62484,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2670,
    "buyer_population_latest": 6769.151,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -17.20448672321533,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -17.144054688959663,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.03920581721326144,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.9,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": -1.5939999999999999,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 18076.62484,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2670,
    "buyer_population_2024": 6769.151
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "AFG",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 1703003.1527871417,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "AFG",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 1852010.3957972364,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.74967511165372,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "AFG",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 3682118.867513476,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 98.81739734665102,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "AFG",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 1321946.336037099,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -64.09821671700118,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.096343395362226
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "AFG",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 410854.01488030714,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -68.92052243875828,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -39.46386282976959
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "AFG",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 920383.826478866,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 124.0172404660567,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -37.00727566318557
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "AFG",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 2120659.6565674106,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 130.41035658791048,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.0628382643218
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "AFG",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 1572387.5865175037,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.853845446249647,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 56.41942692461179
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "AFG",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 317615.9496232648,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -79.8004033899355,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -29.858059773942923
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "AFG",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 163100.09809660795,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -48.64864365594153,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -57.473358841100584
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "AFG",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 126209.01895580166,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.618673790714006,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -56.86363008827422
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "AFG",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 210324.94352163796,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 66.64810903513454,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.837537250285058
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "AFG",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 190162.04860967112,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.586544788441842,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.250267520486118
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "AFG",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 857777.2482625687,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 351.0769917204944,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 89.42096464349952
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "AFG",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 47351.389381879184,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -94.47975689751745,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -39.165868081959545
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "AFG",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 37071.09917238007,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.7106411104238,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -42.01657406557745
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "AFG",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 14009.636846477919,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -62.208736295265176,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -74.62822887751248
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "AFG",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 34917.49427088799,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 149.2391105745642,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.655140257880934
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "AFG",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 354437.1907792491,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 915.0705203229791,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 112.24360201469756
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "AFG",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 696289.3967716442,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 96.44930466828686,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 267.66670356695033
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "AFG",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 386668.7676831364,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -44.46723309647803,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 122.89415220215041
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "AFG",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 154565.26888959546,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -60.02644076589678,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -24.167121287698855
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "AFG",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 587557.0461076094,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 280.13523369683776,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.502550783459148
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "AFG",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 1257727.558208896,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 114.0605012808487,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 48.1662061866525
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "AFG",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 979612.9629133829,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.112467320949094,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 85.0607011237228
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "AFG",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 645544.5562464846,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -34.102081057949064,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.187097077989609
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "AFG",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 1174730.8259649682,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 81.9751734559477,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.2498882061155245
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "AFG",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 841365.1533843302,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -28.37804756734793,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.9446279845200785
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "AFG",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 611060.5809280045,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.372725329774163,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.813295944567983
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "AFG",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 423327.3492211581,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -30.72252368525229,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -28.838353611129953
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "AFG",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "hs_code": "080252",
      "hs_description": "Nuts, edible: pistachios, fresh or dried, shelled",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14185677.625297891,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 88.34444266271822,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9305201434631503,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "AFG",
    "importer_iso3": "LBN",
    "distance_km": 3091,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 0,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 18076.62484,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2670.4419564580553,
    "importer_population": 6769.151,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 15,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 42.3,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 20116.137326,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 504.9811021476211,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.063669905454544,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.063669905454544,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AFG-LBN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AFG-LBN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AFG-LBN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AFG-LBN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AFG-LBN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}