{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:05.793Z", "seo": { "title": "Afghanistan exports to the United Kingdom: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Afghanistan to the United Kingdom, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "AFG", "country_name": "Afghanistan" }, "importer": { "iso3": "GBR", "country_name": "United Kingdom" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "AFG", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "all_history_lane_count": 26, "current_lane_count": 13, "current_product_count": 13, "first_observed_last_year": 1996, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 1951013.401713418, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1051027.6810367662, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1262388.8391160527, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 65171.981555676466, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1256364.0427697243, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 8, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 3, "declining_demand_lane_count": 1, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 9, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9889003875889918, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 42.19532525829821, "product_concentration_hhi": 2181.723866386381, "top1_product_share_pct": 37.54216819393406, "top3_product_share_pct": 68.97049741054526, "top_product_hs6": "080620", "top_product_trade_usd": 732452.7327574458, "top_product_description": "Fruit, edible: grapes, dried", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 5718.07763671875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 3186859.739185, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 47334, "buyer_population_latest": 67326.569, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.090346724339945, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.290378476461543, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7670585336488678, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 17.965999999999998, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 15.626, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 3186859.739185, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 47334, "buyer_population_2024": 67326.569 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "AFG", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 1708076.2332374544, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "AFG", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 3953760.381434626, "yoy_growth_pct": 131.47446843989775, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "AFG", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 4517516.835991913, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.258741050784863, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "AFG", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 3948497.708628407, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.595838555155414, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.22336744279806 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "AFG", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 2670053.7499645907, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.377984058851354, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.265604866266777 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "AFG", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 14671210.862798225, "yoy_growth_pct": 449.47249144302015, "cagr_3y_pct": 48.088747426369615 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "AFG", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 4379059.149514727, "yoy_growth_pct": -70.15202637010212, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.510158522366469 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "AFG", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 923553.5108498653, "yoy_growth_pct": -78.90977309698567, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.8037325729428 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "AFG", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 962055.8990003875, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.168939611857669, "cagr_3y_pct": -59.67465274409294 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "AFG", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 1788227.4196636975, "yoy_growth_pct": 85.87562547267092, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.80966829672474 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "AFG", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 1419371.3768994333, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.62690901102685, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.401466147292897 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "AFG", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 1176556.1838018738, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.107234727248112, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.939328968607206 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "AFG", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 2168428.1319207037, "yoy_growth_pct": 84.30298202281652, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.636879453152145 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "AFG", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 2230696.6078092274, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.871595095631263, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.264774770221436 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "AFG", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 1604852.7518865482, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.055982769316255, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.902373315447878 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "AFG", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 2673046.574889011, "yoy_growth_pct": 66.56023873509716, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.222804985784603 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "AFG", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 12032290.645038761, "yoy_growth_pct": 350.1339691598288, "cagr_3y_pct": 75.37564004631957 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "AFG", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 3485563.6137198894, "yoy_growth_pct": -71.03158728004063, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.50283445288029 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "AFG", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 3653561.4697901895, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.819818964400091, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.977932797665835 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "AFG", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 2849774.1760035213, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.00010319883373, "cagr_3y_pct": -38.12896550294319 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "AFG", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 4472141.733369777, "yoy_growth_pct": 56.929688360129596, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.662789219041755 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "AFG", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 2671507.5714704734, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.26335186256538, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.909292624420685 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "AFG", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 1908390.2198516373, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.565045436079185, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.51124322944145 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "AFG", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 2670448.768641606, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.9320087088485, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.79144198815452 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "AFG", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 3610741.261366211, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.2110290886767, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.563892449585378 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "AFG", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 2971961.656471326, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.691093286844573, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.91118343116058 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "AFG", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 4103896.457426402, "yoy_growth_pct": 38.08712667911895, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.399532138152283 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "AFG", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 2717001.7520006634, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.79458326527749, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.044035560517493 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "AFG", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 2633294.311543503, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.0808754685389017, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.95264718369972 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "AFG", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 4119413.1478119846, "yoy_growth_pct": 56.435728803796124, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.12587367069507582 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "AFG", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "080620", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: grapes, dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 223048075.0909804, "current_below_peak_pct": 64.3989994862301, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8078648281756581, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "AFG", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "570110", "hs_description": "Carpets and other textile floor coverings: knotted, of wool or fine animal hair, whether or not made up", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26381502.383695267, "current_below_peak_pct": 56.848841564027516, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1337033960804606, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "AFG", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "081310", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: apricots, dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 30287461.62750626, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.182522873059649, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "AFG", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "080212", "hs_description": "Nuts, edible: almonds, fresh or dried, shelled", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 112212023.14227688, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0231751270298226, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "AFG", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "081350", "hs_description": "Nuts, edible: mixtures of nuts or dried fruits of chapter 8", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 37558806.20561497, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7223193423575494, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "AFG", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "080420", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: figs, fresh or dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 31971595.850847125, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.786622853674965, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "AFG", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "081340", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: fruit n.e.c. in heading no. 0812, dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 47759809.33778423, "current_below_peak_pct": 49.81963880247748, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0880346047606586, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "AFG", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "960830", "hs_description": "Pens: fountain, stylograph and other pens", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11887606.286029195, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer demand is declining in both recent and longer-term observations", "risk_driver_labels": [ "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_market", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "AFG", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "570190", "hs_description": "Carpets and other textile floor coverings: knotted, of textile materials (other than wool or fine animal hair), whether or not made up", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19689257.675855417, "current_below_peak_pct": 74.5609934951635, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5617476451966998, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "AFG", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "710399", "hs_description": "Stones: precious (other than diamonds) and semi-precious stones, (other than rubies, sapphires and emeralds), worked other than simply sawn or roughly shaped, not strung, mounted or set", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28514424.45712315, "current_below_peak_pct": 6.47783187174987, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0862838836978006, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "AFG", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "distance_km": 5720, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 3186859.739185, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 47334.35531498716, "importer_population": 67326.569, "importer_biz_entry_days": 4.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 20116.137326, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 504.9811021476211, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AFG-GBR/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AFG-GBR/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AFG-GBR/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AFG-GBR/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AFG-GBR/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }