{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:07.859Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Aruba exports to Jamaica: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Aruba to Jamaica, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "ABW",
    "country_name": "Aruba"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "JAM",
    "country_name": "Jamaica"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "ABW",
    "importer_iso3": "JAM",
    "all_history_lane_count": 5,
    "current_lane_count": 1,
    "current_product_count": 1,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1999,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 40024.54554519407,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 40024.54554519407,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 40024.54554519407,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 0,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 0,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.3431514439870367,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 51.81418934413152,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 10000,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "391723",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 40024.54554519407,
    "top_product_description": "Plastics: tubes, pipes and hoses thereof, rigid, of polymers of vinyl chloride",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 938.3511352539062,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.4115999937057495,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 3,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 13638.230996,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 4587,
    "buyer_population_latest": 2973.462,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.273111595530677,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.154906295390704,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.11241063712987831,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.422,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 4.324,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 13638.230996,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 4587,
    "buyer_population_2024": 2973.462
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "ABW",
      "importer_iso3": "JAM",
      "export_value_usd": 12374.95537634062,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "ABW",
      "importer_iso3": "JAM",
      "export_value_usd": 19195.898667286056,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 55.11893242044519,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "ABW",
      "importer_iso3": "JAM",
      "export_value_usd": 7730.593107966344,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -59.727891660832015,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "ABW",
      "importer_iso3": "JAM",
      "export_value_usd": 133293.26973420774,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1624.2308303207626,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 120.84531638321705
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "ABW",
      "importer_iso3": "JAM",
      "export_value_usd": 3569642.330484106,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2578.036436199757,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 470.78438659497255
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "ABW",
      "importer_iso3": "JAM",
      "export_value_usd": 51323.380588388674,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -98.56222624462691,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 87.9464584611582
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "ABW",
      "importer_iso3": "JAM",
      "export_value_usd": 68508.78184121168,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.48454652792494,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.89751155980459
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "ABW",
      "importer_iso3": "JAM",
      "export_value_usd": 23140.62191713827,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -66.22240055183998,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -81.35409611484256
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "ABW",
      "importer_iso3": "JAM",
      "export_value_usd": 1781620.7545038308,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7599.104893910986,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 226.21205247925863
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "ABW",
      "importer_iso3": "JAM",
      "export_value_usd": 762181.4828504359,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -57.21976852123626,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 123.23933287735218
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "ABW",
      "importer_iso3": "JAM",
      "export_value_usd": 1393221.42179225,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 82.79392154501397,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 291.93589432764344
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "ABW",
      "importer_iso3": "JAM",
      "export_value_usd": 607982.8650227176,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -56.36136112229712,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -30.11906742258892
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "ABW",
      "importer_iso3": "JAM",
      "export_value_usd": 1776454.3300553854,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 192.18822309885448,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.58626946018999
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "ABW",
      "importer_iso3": "JAM",
      "export_value_usd": 848004.5174362682,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -52.26420949364741,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.252673317806675
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "ABW",
      "importer_iso3": "JAM",
      "export_value_usd": 782730.3043304731,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.697389785509101,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.786148951806183
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "ABW",
      "importer_iso3": "JAM",
      "export_value_usd": 125236.36299923684,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -84.00006205121178,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -58.68965709505329
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "ABW",
      "importer_iso3": "JAM",
      "export_value_usd": 13031.379874670685,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -89.59457176606918,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -75.1383043068333
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "ABW",
      "importer_iso3": "JAM",
      "export_value_usd": 35304.729647159606,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 170.92088471599243,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -64.40353151156437
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "ABW",
      "importer_iso3": "JAM",
      "export_value_usd": 350236.06514188665,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 892.0372387558119,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 40.88890899642268
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "ABW",
      "importer_iso3": "JAM",
      "export_value_usd": 27964.452613479,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -92.01554168838948,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.98483107775405
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "ABW",
      "importer_iso3": "JAM",
      "export_value_usd": 1029.433110684528,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -96.31877968464744,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -69.22095923163656
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "ABW",
      "importer_iso3": "JAM",
      "export_value_usd": 23996.475743307637,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2231.0378784446743,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -59.08063682909071
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "ABW",
      "importer_iso3": "JAM",
      "export_value_usd": 69493.78049720792,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 189.5999447610093,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 35.450268985573466
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "ABW",
      "importer_iso3": "JAM",
      "export_value_usd": 140869.23340525312,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 102.70768462641473,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 415.3148677544909
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "ABW",
      "importer_iso3": "JAM",
      "export_value_usd": 37151.370032849256,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -73.62705174523663,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.684664160779693
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "ABW",
      "importer_iso3": "JAM",
      "export_value_usd": 77656.67733301611,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 109.02776200272571,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.7713871509733377
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "ABW",
      "importer_iso3": "JAM",
      "export_value_usd": 9515.607563237634,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -87.74656875617825,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -59.273840556106336
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "ABW",
      "importer_iso3": "JAM",
      "export_value_usd": 252319.58243173556,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2551.639222770608,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 89.376189820333
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "ABW",
      "importer_iso3": "JAM",
      "export_value_usd": 24503.8830848387,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -90.28855277553886,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -31.92013241946876
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ABW",
      "importer_iso3": "JAM",
      "export_value_usd": 92062.85041799676,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 275.7071893432223,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 113.08324313248082
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ABW",
      "importer_iso3": "JAM",
      "hs_code": "391723",
      "hs_description": "Plastics: tubes, pipes and hoses thereof, rigid, of polymers of vinyl chloride",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10551700.50549828,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 51.81418934413152,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3431514439870367,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "ABW",
    "importer_iso3": "JAM",
    "distance_km": 946,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 0,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 13638.230995999998,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4586.650509069898,
    "importer_population": 2973.462,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 3,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 4.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 2496.648045,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 23290.713606045058,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ABW-JAM/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ABW-JAM/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ABW-JAM/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ABW-JAM/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ABW-JAM/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}